Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: Zero Visibility in the Market
- The BTC/USD is pointing to a slight upside but has strong obstacles.
- The ETH/USD has a simpler scenario but doesn’t seem determined to take advantage of it.
- The XRP/USD also doesn’t want to take advantage of a positive scenario for climbs.
This week in the crypto market starts with an opposite scenario to the one we had last week. This week, very short-term indicators are pointing up. The medium-term situation continues to show a structure that proposes laterality for the next few days.
If the upward movement that comes out of the very short-term technical analysis takes place, we will have to be attentive to the duration and intensity in case it can sufficiently influence the medium term structure.
The BTC/USD is currently trading at the $6.357 price level. This leaves Bitcoin below the first resistance of the range at $6,359.3. Moving averages continue their convergence process, creating a significant barrier that the BTC/USD will have to overcome if it wants to re-make higher prices.
Above the current price, the first resistance is at the quoted level of $6.359 (price congestion resistance). The second level of resistance is precisely the convergence point of the 100-period Simple Moving Average at the price level of $6,367, 200-periods at $6,366 and the 50-period Exponential Moving Average slightly higher at $6,375.
It will not be easy for Bitcoin to overcome this obstacle. If it does, the prize will be almost none, because it is not until the next resistance level of $6,491 (resistance due to price congestion) that the conditions of a new bullish trend would start.
Below the current price, the first support at the price level of $6.295 (price congestion support). Second support level at $6,208 (price congestion support). The loss of this second level of support would open a much more negative scenario that could bring the value of the BTC/USD to $5,874 (price congestion support).
The MACD at 240-Minutes pointing up but below the zero line. The current structure proposes attempts to move up although they can be limited. Until these lines are above the neutral line of the indicator, it will not be easy to move upwards.
The 240-Minute DMI shows how the bears continue to have control over the situation. The bulls are not giving up and took advantage of the $6,300 marked early in the Asian session to buy intensively.
The ETH/USD is currently trading at the $211.20 price level. Its technical aspect is more conducive to rises than that presented by the BTC/USD. This situation is because moving averages are below the current price and can help support the ETH/USD in case of sales appearing in the market.
Above the current price, the first resistance is at the price level of $215 (price congestion resistance). From here it will be easy for the ETH/USD to face the second resistance at the price level of $223.24 (price congestion resistance). However, until Ethereum exceeds the third resistance at the $235.76 price level, it will not enter a fully bullish scenario in the short term.
Below the current price, the first support is at the $210 price level, which is where the 50 period Exponential Moving Average currently passes. The second support level is at $206.78 (price congestion support). This support is reinforced by the 100- and 200-Simple Moving Averages slightly below, around $205. The third level of support is at the psychological level of $200, a level that if lost would make the technical aspect of the ETH/USD much worse.
The MACD at 240-Minutes shows a neutral profile. The lines are overlapping and just above the average range of the indicator. In this situation, it does not provide information with which to project future movements.
The 240-Minute DMI shows Bears with a small advantage over the Bulls. Both sides of the market maintain good levels, and neither gives up. It is worth highlighting the bullish trajectory of the Bears since the lows of November 7, betting clearly to see new annual lows in the ETH/USD.
The XRP/USD is currently trading at the $0.506 price level, just above the first support level at $0.504 (price congestion support). The moving averages in the case of the Ripple are well below the current price.
Above the current price, the first resistance level is at the price level of $0.547 (price congestion resistance). The second resistance is at $0.584 (price congestion resistance) and the third resistance at $0.60 (price congestion resistance). The XRP/USD will not fully re-enter the bullish phase until it exceeds the relative maximum above the $0.768 price level.
Below the current price, the first support is at the price level of $0.50 (50 Period Exponential Moving Average). The second support is at $0.48 (Simple Moving Average of 100 periods), a little above the trend line that governs the movement and is at the price level of $0.465. The second support is at $0.48 (Simple Moving Average of 100 periods), a little above the trend line that governs the movement and is at the price level of $0.465. Losing this support level would be very harmful.
The MACD at 240-Minutes shows a flat profile, just above the neutral line of the indicator. It does not provide any information about the possible future evolution of the Ripple.
The 240-Minute DMI is also not going to help us in proposing future scenarios. Absolute tie between bears and bulls. This situation of equilibrium has been going on since last November 9th.
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