Bitcoin ETF Possible in 18 Months: Former Goldman Sachs Executive
Investors awaiting the arrival of a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) should’t get their hopes up, according to Ali Hassan, a former Goldman Sachs executive currently running a cryptocurrency asset management firm. In Hassan’s view, bitcoin’s ‘holy grail’ is certainly coming, but not before regulators fully dissect its implications on consumer safety.
Bitcoin ETF: Timelines and Expectations
In an interview with Bloomberg Markets, Hassan predicted that a bitcoin ETF will be approved only once regulators are convinced that the asset doesn’t expose investors to unnecessary risk. As the recently rejected Winklevoss ETF application clearly showed, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is not convinced that crypto-backed funds are “uniquely resistant to manipulation.”
“We do think that a product is coming soon,” Hassan told Bloomberg. “Perhaps, in the next 18 months, we’ll see a Bitcoin-only ETF.
Hassan, who runs Crescent Crypto, spoke at length about the potential for bitcoin and other crypto funds to revolutionize asset management strategies. He also said that passive investment strategies in crypto will “actually increase the participation in the market.”
The long-awaited bitcoin ETF has been described as the ‘holy grail’ for its potential to lure passive investors and traditional asset managers to the cryptocurrency market. Hopes for its imminent arrival helped spur a nearly 30% rally in bitcoin’s price last month.
Some analysts believe that a joint proposal submitted in June by VanEck and SolidX has the best chance of gaining regulatory approval. The SEC could rule on the fund as early as Aug. 16, though many believe the process will drag on for several months.
Hassan’s Crescent Crypto fund invests in 20 high-profile digital assets that meet specific requirements tied to market capitalization, liquidity and security.
According to the company’s third-quarter report, cryptocurrencies are broken down into four brackets or “sectors,” including: store of value, platform, value transfer and anonymity. Bitcoin, a “store of value” currency, accounts for nearly 45% of the portfolio. “Platform” Ethereum is second at 19.3%. They arefollowed by Ripple and bitcoin cash (“value transfers”) and EOS (“platform”).
For “anonymity,” the fund includes Monero, Dash and Zcash.
A debate over bitcoin and crypto-backed securities is being waged within the SEC’s own ranks, underscoring a gradual shift in how regulators approach the subject.
“I am concerned that the Commission’s approach undermines investor protection by precluding greater institutionalization of the bitcoin market. More institutional participation would ameliorate many of the Commission’s concerns with the bitcoin market that underlie its disapproval order. More generally, the Commission’s interpretation and application of the statutory standard sends a strong signal that innovation is unwelcome in our markets, a signal that may have effects far beyond the fate of bitcoin ETPs.”
On Thursday, Hacked commented on a transcript that described a “heated debate” on cryptocurrency between SEC Chairman Jay Clayton and an unnamed attorney. According to Eric Werner, an associate director of enforcement with the SEC, Clayton is giving the cryptocurrency debate “the same dedication and thought process” as every other issue he has faced throughout his tenure as agency chief.
Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.
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