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Bitcoin Cash Price Analysis: BCH/USD Runs into Heavy Sellers, Despite Poloniex Launching Pre-Fork Trading

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  • Poloniex exchange listed options to buy Bitcoin Cash ABC (BCHABC) and Bitcoin Cash SV (BCHSV) trading tokens.
  • BCH/USD runs into trouble after entering chunky supply area; price being forced to retreat. 

Poloniex Pre-Fork Bitcoin Cash Trading

Poloniex has announced that it would be the first exchange that will offer trading for the imminent Bitcoin Cash (BCH) hard fork. The exchange earlier in the year was acquired by Goldman Sachs-backed start up Circle for $400 million.

It was detailed by the exchange that commencing from Wednesday evening, it has begun to offer customers the option to buy Bitcoin Cash ABC (BCHABC) and Bitcoin Cash SV (BCHSV) trading tokens. It is noted however on their website “deposits and withdrawals will be enabled after the fork happens and the network is stable.”

Poloniex has never made such an offering prior to a possible fork. It explained that this is part of a larger strategy, as detailed in their most recent blog post. “We’re doing this to empower customers to demonstrate their support for one coin over the other through trading activity. Poloniex will also support trading markets for both tokens after the hard fork.”

Technical Review – BCH/USD

BCH/USD daily chart

BCH/USD ran into some trouble yesterday, after seeing a chunky rejection within a known heavy area of supply. A firm daily closure in the red was observed, and this has continued in trading today, nursing further losses. As of the time of writing, BCH/USD now over the course of the past two sessions is nursing double-digit losses.

The supply zone is seen tracking from around $635 up to $660, as firmly demonstrated between 2-4 September. This was the last time BCH/USD traded in this territory, which led to a chunky sell-off. Bitcoin Cash went on to drop over 35%, after trading within the mentioned supply. Falling to lows of around $410. At the time, this was the lowest price print seen since October 2017.

Support Areas

Given the current downside momentum, it is worth looking at the next areas of support to catch the falling price. Firstly, the psychological $500 mark will be eyed, around this level for a potential safety net. Should this fail to hold, then as seen between the above-mentioned period, 2-4 September, the bottom of $410, could come back into play.

Due to the excessively large rally seen for BCH/USD over eight days initially, it isn’t too surprising seeing a pullback. When any market sees such chunky short-term moves, it does leave it very much vulnerable to a pullback, profit-taking from the highs. Consequently, this is occurring for Bitcoin Cash and several of its peers.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 112 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Small-Alt Season: Why They’re Pumping, and One Way to Spot them Before They Do

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As the slow (but volatile) winter period continues in the crypto market, more than one small-cap altcoin has managed to buck the broader trend in recent weeks.

That pattern continued on Tuesday as a handful of alts grew almost 40% in value over twenty-four hours, including Factom (FCT) and Loopring (LRC). The day previously, the much ridiculed cryptocurrency for the truck racing industry, Buggyra Coin Zero (BCZERO), hit over 200% growth in just a few hours.

But not all pumps are created equal, and the reasons behind their sudden appearance at the turn of the year are many-fold.

Manipulation

According to this recent Twitter poll conducted by Hacked and eToro’s Mati Greenspan, most people believe that Sunday’s market dip was a result of manipulation, as opposed to bots or whales (although, in reality, the crossover between the three must be huge).

If the consensus is that dips are a result of manipulation, then should the same rationale not be applied to pumps? Such a cynical view might make the current swathe of fundamental and technical analyses seem pointless. Yet, both methods of analysis continue to prove useful when trying to anticipate market movers.

Coincidence

Coincidence appears to play an important role in cryptocurrency pumps. Market pumps which coincide with some new tech rollout, exchange listing, or upcoming airdrop serve to convince the market that the current growth might be genuine and long-lasting.

But the inevitable dump which follows one of these pumps often returns the coin in question back to square one. As this happens often enough, one starts to see how crypto fundamental developments are used as a convenient smokescreen for market manipulation. For recent examples look at the lead up to the Bitcoin Cash (BCH) hardfork, or the recent Komodo (KMD) hardfork surge, which saw 94% growth recorded in December, followed by a reversion back to square one by January.

Basics

The many-headed beast that is technical analysis continues to throw up winners and losers, and the recent market plunge has already seen more investors turn to TA as a way to minimize losses.

But there are still ways to anticipate which simmering coin is about to come to the boil without getting too technical. Excluding the ridiculously small-volume tokens, the number of times that a surge is preceded by a steady rise in trade volume stands out as a very reliable marker.

Just yesterday, Factom (FCT) was priced at $6.51, and trading at a volume of $130,000. Over the next two hours that volume doubled, and it continued to double every few hours as the coin price pushed slowly upward. By Tuesday morning FCT was priced at $8.86 – a 36% increase; accompanied by rising volume which hit $2 million – a 1,438% influx.

Another example is yesterday’s strong performer, Tron (TRX), which also grew steadily as trade volume trebled over 48 hours.

Tuesday’s other top performer, Loopring (LRC) saw a more sudden 43% price jump without the slow build up of volume here described. However, take a look at LRC’s past week and you see a coin which has slowly increased its trade volume almost day-on-day – from last Tuesday’s $800,000 up to today’s $25 million – a new seven month high. Almost any point up until this morning would have proved a profitable buy-in point for LRC.

Predictions

Hindsight is known for its crystal clear vision, so let’s put this simple little crackpot theory to the test.

Zilliqa (ZIL) just posted 4% gains as trade volume doubled from $7 million to $14 million on Tuesday morning alone. Daily trades reached as high as $29 million earlier this week, and a look at the monthly chart shows massive volume and price pumps at regular intervals.

At the same time, Steem (STEEM) volume more than doubled on Tuesday morning, from $9 million to $19 million. Despite STEEM’s more than 50% gains already this week, daily volume only continues to rise, and just bypassed a four-month high in the process.

Consider these my two predictions for the coming days.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 125 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH/USD Sellers are Stepping Up Downside Pressure; Explosive Breakout is Imminent

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  • ETH/USD is very much close to a breakout of the recent range-block formation.
  • Diar reports that on-chain transaction value on the Ethereum network was seen at an all-time-high in December 2018.

Over the past three sessions for ETH/USD, a pick-up in downside intensity has been demonstrated by the market bears. The price had been moving within a narrowing range-block formation for going on 12 sessions, but this appears to be coming to an end. Sellers are stepping up the pressure, looking for a breakout of the sideways movement seen of late.

Ethereum On-chain Transaction Value at All-Time-High

Source – Diar

Diar in their latest report detailed that on-chain transaction value hit an all-time-high on the Ethereum network. Diar provide weekly institutional publications in addition to data analysis of digital currencies. Further within this latest publication, the on-chain transaction levels had hit 115 million in December 2018. This marked an all-time high, which excludes the activity after a hard fork caused by the DAO hack in 2016.

In terms of monetary value, Diar stated that the total US dollar value on-chain last year was seen at $815 million. This was down from the previous $1.1 billion, reported in 2017. As a result, this was a 97% drop in the on-chain transaction value. The drop from peak in January versus December 2018 was “by and large the cause of an 80% drop in Ethereum’s price”.

Commenting on fees, Diar detailed that they are unlikely to have been a laggard on the growth for the Ethereum network. It already has some of the lowest fees that are observed for transacting on-chain. They added, “the Constantinople upgrade, now pushed back, will bring down fees a great deal further for certain types of transactions that would allow for better storage use”.

Technical Review – ETH/USD

ETH/USD daily chart.

Key daily support eyed around $117.50 has been penetrated in the past few sessions. Signs are starting to show of a gradual shift again in favor of a bearish bias. The price is running towards its third consecutive session in the red, with the critical support earlier detailed under threat. ETH/USD did have a quick spike of around 15% lower on 20th January before retracing back within the range-block. A firm breach and close of the mentioned $117.50, the lower part of the range-block, could be punishing. Eyes will then be on a retest of the big psychological $100 mark.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 112 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Blockchain Goes Mobile: The First Crypto MVNO Announces Loyalty Rewards Program

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This week, Miracle Tele (blockchain based Mobile Virtual Network Operator / MVNO) announced the public launch of a loyalty rewards program which has been available to token-holders and investors since last October.

The rewards are distributed in the form of an exchangeable crypto token, compared to the non-fungible ‘points’ systems more commonly known (redeemable only for products created by the points distributor).

In this scenario, the customer is afforded full freedom with how they choose to spend their rewards. As far as this writer is aware, the scheme is the first of its type to be offered by any MVNO provider, although it wouldn’t be the first for an MNO.

Miracle Tele mobile virtual network claims over 15,000 Sim Card users who spend an average of 15 euros per month, according to the ‘one-pager‘ that you can view on their website. Despite this, the team is claimed to comprise of just over 15 members (which include CEO Andrew Burchik and Head of Development Roman Golod).

The ICO for the TELE token has been live since October 2018 and will continue through to the same month of this year, with total supply being pegged at 300,000,000 TELE. Future events of note on the company roadmap are the launch of a programme offering free usage of apps like WhatsApp and Telegram on the Miracle Tele network.

MNOs and MVNOs

‘Mobile network operators’ (or MNOs) is the term used to describe most of the best known mobile network service providers, such as T-Mobile and O2.

MNOs are wireless cellular providers which possess whole ownership of all the necessary operational components required for the sale of mobile telecom services.

‘Mobile virtual network operators’ (or MVNOs) are companies that enter into a service agreement with the aforementioned MNOs in order to rent their services at a business or wholesale rate.

These companies subsequently apply their own business ideologies, as well as market offerings (unique service packages and value-lines) ideally to contribute to bringing a greater level of competition and choice in the mobile telecom marketplace.

Blockchain in the Mobile Space

Miracle Tele isn’t the first blockchain based company operating in the mobile phones area, and it most likely won’t be the last!

Last year, popular blockchain trading-game ‘Crypto Kitties’ hit the news yet again for being integrated into all factory-setting HTC U12+ devices (the flagship smartphone for the company in 2018).

It wouldn’t be the first time HTC has flirted with crypto either, like when they controversially sold that ‘HTC Exodus 1‘ phone exclusively in exchange for cryptocurrency.

Additional examples of blockchain-based product developers or service providers within the mobile space include providers of token wallets and mobile-apps for exchange. In addition to SBI-backed mobile payments token ‘S Coin’.

Blockchain MVNOs Viable?

There is very little competition of note that is bridging the gap between blockchain and MVNOs, suggesting that the companies we do see will be representative of whether such partnerships will build or bust in the following year(s).

For those interested in learning more about MVNOs in the blockchain space as well as / enjoying my prose, I recommend that you check out an article I wrote here at Hacked.com about how an underrated star in crypto (Electroneum) recently partnered with such a company, growing its portfolio of real-world use cases for p2p financial transaction in line with its mission statement.

Another company in the space, however with less legitimate coverage is one by the name of ‘YOVO’.

Disclaimer: The author owns small quantities of Bitcoin and Ethereum. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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