Bitcoin Cash Price Analysis: BCH/USD Rejected Again by Long-running Descending Trend Line

  • BCH/USD bulls attempted moving above vital descending trend line capping upside; however , they were dealt another rejection.
  • A recent study suggest Bitcoin Cash is not using anywhere near its full block capacity.

 Bitcoin Cash Bulls Fails to Break Big Resistance

Bitcoin Cash price on Monday is trading in minor negative territory, nursing losses of just some 0.5%, at the time of writing. Over the past three sessions, BCH/USD has traded very closely to a descending trend line. The price continues to face rejection when attempting to break above the aforementioned line; however, the bulls do not have enough momentum. This trend line has been in play since 6th November, right at the start of the pick up in downside, at the back end of 2018.

While BCH/USD was confined below the above-mentioned resistance, it fell a chunky 88%. It had dropped from around $650, down to a low of $73.50 on 15th December. Given the current failure to press ahead and break above, the price once again could be knocked back south.

Bitcoin Cash Block Capacity Failure of Use

There is now 500 days’ worth of data to analyze the capacity of Bitcoin Cash when looking at its block size. A recent study conducted by LongHash suggests that the Bitcoin (BTC) blocks on average have been 30x larger than Bitcoin Cash.

Looking at the figures, in terms of Bitcoin Cash, the block size on average has reported to have been just 171 KB since the fork back in August 2017. In real terms, this represents just 2.1% of the total block capacity for BCH. On just one day there the BCH blocks have been more than half full. Back on 15th January 2018, the blocks were able to average 59% of their total capacity, as covered by the recent study.

The study from LongHash further goes on to say, that some will believe that the BCH blocks not nearing their full capacity is a potential positive sign. However, this can also be seen as a lack of interest in Bitcoin Cash, which is somewhat concerning. Most recently, over the past 30 days, the blocks of BCH have averaged just a small 34 KB, which is just around 3.7% of the roughly 923 KB blocks of Bitcoin over that same period.

Technical Review – BCH/USD

BCH/USD daily chart.

Keeping in mind the earlier described rejections for the price, eyes should now note the coming key areas support. Firstly, just ahead of the big psychological $100 mark, at $105, which is an important daily support. The price had last traded around this level between 6-10th December, as it sought comfort at the time, before resuming its move south. If this fails to hold, then a retest of the December low and 2018 low at $73.50 would likely be on the cards.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Author:
Ken has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.

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