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A Beginner’s Guide to Ethereum: Buy Ether Now Or Wait?

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When is it a good time to buy and sell a particular Cryptocurrency? That is the million-dollar question. Surely, the person who could know the answer would be a multi billionaire by now. There are, however, certain trends and signs one can look out for that may give a good indication of whether or not it is a good time to buy or sell a specific Cryptocurrency. We use Vitalik Buterin’s Ethereum as example.

What is Ethereum?

Ethereum is a very important crypto in the sense that competition is always good for business. Ethereum was introduced in 2013 by a crypto researcher and developer Vitalik Buterin. It is currently the second most popular Cryptocurrency, following Bitcoin and is said to be the next Bitcoin. Ethereum differs from Bitcoin in the sense that it introduced smart contracts to the industry. It has relatively the same qualities as Bitcoin – it is open-source and built on Blockchain, which defines its abilities and characteristics. Enabled by Ethereum, a smart contract is a computer algorithm that allows users to build or develop innovative tools and systems to perform various tasks. These smart contracts run on Blockchain and eliminate the need for third parties. It can save one a lot of time and money.

The market is very much split in two as the majority of investors put their money in both Bitcoin and Ethereum. Ethereum’s token that you can trade with on exchanges is called an “ether” and can be bought or sold not only for Bitcoin, but also for any popular fiat currency like USD or EUR. Some cryptocurrency exchanges even offer an option of converting ETH to GBP, which can now bring you around £340 per coin.

Ethereum was forked in 2016, and Ethereum Classic (ETC) was introduced to the market. There are currently talks of another fork for Ethereum Classic that is expected to happen sometime in December 2017.

The latest on Ethereum

In order to determine whether or not it is a good time to invest in a Cryptocurrency, one should keep an eye on the news. News greatly affects whether a coin’s price will spike or take a hike. Remember – buy the rumor, sell the news.

According to CryptoCoins News, Mike Novogratz, an investor, predicts that the price of Ether could skyrocket till the end of 2017. Currently, the price of Ether in USD is $437. This follows the Ethereum Foundation introducing new scaling solutions like Plasma and Casper. Ethereum can now allow for more transactions than the Bitcoin network. Bitcoin is a bit slow at the moment. Ethereum is said to have had an upgrade recently, and it will do away with unnecessary information “clogging” the system. It will also allow Ethereum’s blockchain to perform even faster while the productivity will increase to 550,000 transactions per day.

If you want to stay on top of Ethereum and watch your investment grow, monitor market changes through sector-specific announcements, news sites, charts, etc.

Should I buy Ethereum now or wait?

Various crypto analysts and experts give their opinion regarding the question at hand.

Novogratz was quoted in Fortune in May 2017 that he would consider buying more Ethereum if the price drops to $150 or $200. This means Ethereum would have a market cap of more or less than $20 billion. Novogratz told the news site that he believes the crypto market “has much further to run.”

On another note, when a particular coin’s price spikes, a lot of people want to jump in and buy immediately. This is not the right thing to do. Buy low, sell high, and repeat. Normally, when a coin has spiked, the market will take back 60%. By making use of some analytical tools, you can determine where this point will be. This is generally a good entry point. Despite of these and other trading tools, there is no guarantee in this industry. Majority of the time it is better to invest in a coin for a long term rather than for a short term.

One can also opt for dollar-cost averaging. It is a clever investment strategy when one buys a particular coin every month on a specific date. You may buy $100 Ethereum every 15th of a month and, over the long run, you will see your investment grow. The truth is that no one can really predict what the market will do, and sometimes it is better to buy now. It may happen that the price will never go down again.

The one thing that is great about cryptos is that you can buy a part of an Ethereum. For example, you can have a fifth of a Bitcoin or Ethereum, and if you do some day trading, you can easily grow this into one or even two coins.

It is really up to you if you want to buy Ethereum today or wait for the price to get lower. Before you invest, ask yourself this question: How much are you ready to lose?

Ethereum price predictions for 2018

According to Coin Spectator, an automated news aggregation service, Ethereum could reach $1,000. This is due to its increasing popularity and innovative technology. It is interesting to see that Ethereum spiked with more than 3,995% during 2017 whilst Bitcoin increased by more than 377%.

According to the website Investing Haven, it agrees with the $1,000 price prediction, adding that if it does not reach this price in 2018, it will surely do so by 2020. The website gives the following three factors as the reason for this prediction:

  • Considering the future supply of Ether, developers may want to ensure that the number of coins remains constant. It may increase now but will stabilize after a while.
  • The increasing demand and use of Ethereum’s smart contracts. The need for decentralized systems is growing on a daily basis. Investing Haven predicts that 5 – 7 years from now there will be a 20 – 30-fold increase in the smart contract apps being used.
  • If the price of Ether continues growing in the same way it is now, it will attract more investors.

Where do I buy Ethereum?

There are hundreds of exchanges where you can buy Ethereum. Here is a list of reputable exchanges for you to consider. Be sure to pick the one that perfectly suits your particular needs and offers a reliable and transparent service.

In conclusion, some are saying that there is a strong possibility that Ether could eventually be worth more than Bitcoin. Investors are constantly looking out for the next best investment – maybe this is one of those?

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

 

 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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As an expert on Bitcoin-related topics, Mary Ann found myself as a Journalist at Cex.io - a cryptocurrency exchange. She is working on articles related to blockchain security, bitcoin purchase guides or bitcoin regulations in different countries.




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  1. andrewmayne1

    December 9, 2017 at 10:24 pm

    With regard to the article about futures trading and bitcoin (https://hacked.com/futures-trading-bullish-or-bearish-for-bitcoin/#comment-4523), which recommended to sell Bitcoin for now – do you have any view on whether we should be selling our Ethereum?

    I know it’s hard to tell, the other article suggested that either when bitcoin drops, ethereum could also drop, or it could see a rally as people move out of bitcoins. Wondering whether the author is cashing out their alts as well as their bitcoins?

  2. saxonlucius

    December 10, 2017 at 4:19 am

    Maybe it is good to buy now and hold. I don’t think Ether will go back down. I think in 2018 a LOT of people are going to be entering into crypto and the value is going to go way up. 2018 is going to be a big year for this. Its getting more user friendly. Smart contracts have to get more user friendly and more and more people will be able to do it without development skills. I don’t think anything is going to go down. I think monero might just keep flying up also. The beginning of all this is starting now and within like 3 or 4 months they will all be up. This is the rise of global currency backed by computers that are very quickly becoming part of us. All of this is awesome and kinda scary. lol. I think buy as much as possible now and keep putting money in and hold it. Follow the market. Some ICO’s are really good also. NAGA looks like its going to do well. Awesome ARTICLE!!!!

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Education

The Basics of ICO Investing: A Brief Reminder to Those Who are New to the Game

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The ICO market has been heating up for a little less than a year now, but it truly has turned into a new wave of technology. The amount of wealth being created is insane, and it can be difficult to keep up with the rate of change that is occurring within the industry. It is like the tech boom of the early 2000’s all over again, and this is your chance to mint a lot of money.

Researching ICOs

If you’re looking to put some money into an ICO, the first step is tracking down the right one for you. There are lots of websites devoted to the different ICOs that are currently underway or planned to be soon, but CoinSchedule is my personal favourite right now. You can find out about new ICOs here, and then the hard part begins.

You need to perform your own due diligence to figure out if the ICO is right for you. You can look through forums and Reddit, but gaining an understanding of the fundamentals of the company (team, product, market size) is the only way to avoid losing all your money in the long-run.

Telegram is a great chat platform for connecting with others, and there are a lot of expert level people who are willing to share tons of information about cryptocurrencies and ICOs, so I would recommend you check out that tool.

The Due Dilligence Process

There are a few key insights you need to apply in your investing process. First, the cryptocurrency community is segmented into different use cases, and there likely to be only one successful project for each use case. So before you do any investing in a certain project, it is time to do an analysis of the competitive landscape. You don’t want to be betting against yourself by putting money in multiple projects in the same sector, so it is likely you’ll want to choose only the project you think is most likely to succeed.

To learn more about the project, most companies have Telegram channels where you can observe the community and get and idea of what the developers are like and where the project is heading. In general, Telegram is an invaluable research tool.

Finally, you’ll want to examine the amount of supply the company is keeping to itself. You want the founders to have “skin in the game” still, but you also don’t want them to have such a high proportion of coins on hand that they can gain a profit and then start to de-risk by selling off their holdings.

Going Through with the Purchase

Assuming you’ve finally selected a coin you would like to purchase, it’s time to execute. Most coins are supported by Ethereum, so you’ll need to purchase some Ether and move it to a wallet that will support a variety of coins. Currently, I use MyEtherWallet.

Purchasing the coin is actually much simpler than you would think. All you need to do is get the public address of the ICO and send them the amount of Ether you want to invest. They will send you your tokens when the ICO closes, and you have successfully participated in your first ICO.

Know Your Client (KYC) rules are for keeping track of your identity and following the security regulations of your jurisdiction. In the beginning, it was rare a company would follow them, but now that regulators are cracking down, you will likely have to provide all your identification information in order to participate.

If you do want to sell your tokens at any point, you can use an exchange like Binance that allows trading of a wide variety of tokens.

Watch for Pump n’ Dumps

As long as there have been equity investments, there have been pump n’ dump schemes. Aptly named “shitcoins”, there are numerous projects that ICO without a product or even a hope of developing them. The lack of regulations is making this possible, and this is exactly why you need to do your due diligence.

An often pointed out criticism of ICOs is that no one on the team has built anything yet. There is the feel of a group of people seeing an opportunity and jumping on it because there is a chance of high profits, rather than them being able to contribute a lot to the space. So as you look out for “shitcoins”, you should be especially aware of projects that talk about the amount of money they’ve raised, rather than what they’ve built.

Understanding the Risk

The first thing that everyone should know about ICOs is that they are still unregulated. Where IPOs receive intense regulatory scrutiny, ICOs are mostly self-regulated at the moment. Considering the fact that most of these companies are coming from people with little or no track record, it is imperative you are careful about where you invest your money.

Yes, it is a  good thing that you can now make large asymmetric bets that used to be regulated out of your reach, but research is always the answer. For example, if you have a token for a company that doesn’t have a use case aside from funding the company, it won’t serve as a good store of value. With the implementation of the lightning network, cross-chain atomic swaps will eliminate the need to hold these tokens, and their value will trend to zero. Understanding future shifts like this is the key to a long-lasting investing career.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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How ICOs Changed the Way Companies Are Built

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With cryptocurrencies now becoming a household name, investors are starting to look into plays they can make that are more off the beaten path. The market for initial coin offerings (ICO) offers just that, albeit with a dash of risk that traditional initial public offerings (IPOs) do not offer. 

Restrictions on Venture Capital

If you want to make money in Silicon Valley, you need two things: connections and capital. Connections are required, because a lot of projects end up oversubscribed anyways, and you need an advantage over many of the other investors. It also helps if you can provide aid to the company additional to just giving them your capital (e.g. advising on product, marketing, or hiring). The unspoken rule is that you do usually have to be located in Silicon Valley to do well as a startup investor.

Large amounts of capital are also required for regulatory and convenience reasons. Venture capital is considered to be very risky, and as such, it is generally restricted to be accessible only to accredited investors, who must have either an income greater than $200,000 per year or a net worth greater than $1,000,000.

Additionally, most companies didn’t have the bandwidth to deal with having hundreds or thousands of smaller investors, because of the meetings, due diligence, and paperwork required. It was much easier to take larger investments from a small group of people, and keep things simple.

Democratizing Venture Capital

For both these reasons, the number of people who have benefited from the gains in massive technology startups have been very few. Now, with ICOs the possibility arises that investors may join in on the gains, thus democratizing the gains and spreading them out throughout the country and world.

The ability to make asymmetric bets (wagers where there is a high possible upside, but limited downside) has been restricted for a long-time. Lottery tickets are the closest example of a purchase you can make that could result in a 10,000x return, but with the downside capped at the size of your investment.

In a world where income inequality and wealth distribution is a constant source of conflict, the spreading out of these returns could prove to be increasingly important for making sure it doesn’t get worse.

Structure of an ICO

As Hacked readers are no doubt aware, an ICO generally occurs when a cryptocurrency startup wants to raise money. They either have something they’ve already built, or they have a white paper that outlines their business plan and how much money is needed to create and scale the project.

The ICO is carried out by exchanging fiat currency or other cryptocurrency for the “token” in question. A token is considered equal to equity in the company in this analogy, although most firms contend that the tokens are not securities for regulatory reasons (see: Howie test).

ICOs are popular for both investors and traders, as there is an expectation in an increase of market price after the ICO, as well as high volatility (which traders love). Looking at a website like Coin Schedule, you can see the amount of hype that is floating around ICOs at the moment.

Recent Trends in Fundraising

As ICOs become more popular, many companies are going through similar experiences during the fundraising process. Some companies are asking for such high valuations right off the bat that there is little upside for the investors, and a greater chance they will lose money.

If excessive amounts of money are raised before a product has even been built, there is much greater risk in the project. Additionally, there are fewer investors who have made enough money on a project to justify staying invested during a bear market. Compare this to Bitcoin, where some have owned it since its price was in the single digit range, and you can see the difference.

Projects that are heavily inflated upon ICO’ing are losing out on the longer-term opportunity, unfortunately. Some people forget that the most well-known cryptocurrency of all began using an organic mining process rather than an ICO. Although there is almost no money inflow when this is done, it creates a rabid community of supporters who believe in the product, rather than short-term speculators. This solution would not work for all ICOs, but for some, it might be a viable solution.

More than Just an ICO

The ICO is the most well-known part of the process, but often these projects will require money to get them to that point. This is where the Pre-ICO and Pre Sale come from. The Pre-ICO is similar to the “friends and family” money that any business starts off with. It is what is required to get the project off the ground. Then you have the Pre Sale, which is where larger investors who are going to help build the companies product and profile get to buy tokens at a lower price than the ICO price in exchange from their help.

Finally, and it is very necessary to make this clear, all of these projects carry a ton of inherent risk, and a significant amount of research should be undertaken before any investment is made. Where many of the past IPOs had undergone a massive amount of due diligence and had backers who understood the technology, we are seeing many investors hop on the investing train without fully understanding how everything works.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Understanding the Risks of Mining Bitcoin

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At this point of your journey into the cryptocurrency world, you probably have a strong grasp of the fundamental mechanics of the coin, and maybe understand the basics of “proof-of-work” systems.

Assuming you already have this understanding, you know that the robustness of the network is what secures the entire bitcoin protocol. As such, there is an opportunity for money to be made if you are able to add value to the network, you will be compensated for your time. This is essentially what mining bitcoin is, and it is very possible for you to make a good return on your capital if you go about it intelligently.

Cloud Mining for Lower Risk

Mining has advanced quite a bit since bitcoin’s creation in 2009. It used to be that you could use any PC to mine cryptocurrency. The algorithm is designed to adapt the level of difficulty and work required to be done so that the average block time stays at approximately 10 minutes.

The most important decision you’ll make in terms of bitcoin mining is whether to mine using cloud services, or if you are going to buy your own rig instead. Each method comes with different levels of risk due to the varying risk structures.

Cloud mining has you rent mining hardware from a company or just get a portion of their hashing power. There are many different operators in the field, and it is important you perform some heavy research to figure out what the best investment of your capital is. Cryptocompare has a list of all the different companies you can use and how they have been rated and reviewed recently.

Personal Mining for Higher Potential

When you make the decision to go the personal mining route, you are taking a much bigger risk in terms of upfront investment. There is a significant cost involved, and you are buying some very specialized hardware. The top consideration should be whether you have access to cheap electricity, because without that, you are putting yourself in a terrible position.

Once you choose your hardware, it is all a matter of selecting the type of hardware you are going to use (there are many review sites, and this is outside the scope of this article) and then choosing a mining pool and software provider. Research is your friend, so you would do well to not neglect it.

Determining the Logistics

No matter what route you decide to go, you are going to have to make some decisions that will affect your overall workflow significantly. First, you must select a mining pool, which means you need to adjust for the amount of risk you are willing to take. Mining can be very profitable on your own, or you could go months without making any money at all. Going with a larger group will increase your likelihood of making money, but cap your earnings at a certain point.

There are pools that are set up to allow switching from mining one currency to another, depending on which is the most profitable, but we are going to stick to Bitcoin for the purposes of this article. One common point to watch out for with pools is whether they are paying out before the block properly verified, since that can cost the pools significant amounts of money.

Payout methods are the most relevant factor to consider when assessing mining pools, since they will determine the risk and return of your payments. There are ten or so variations, but it is only necessary to understand the three most common: Prop, PPS, and PPLNS.

Prop (or proportional) mining pools you are paid for the amount of valid shares you contribute to the pool when a block is found. Basically, you would be getting paid an exact amount based on the “work” you submitted. This is the best deal for the miner, but carries risk to the pool operator, since bad shares still get paid here.

PPS (or Pay Per Share) rewards miners for each submitted share. The miner knows the estimated number of shares to get the reward, and takes the risk of paying out per share before the reward is earned. As such, these generally have the highest fees.

Finally, PPLNS (or Pay Per Last N Shares) works like Prop pool, but instead of just rewarding miners for the last block, it rewards based on long-term contribution.

Afterwards, you also need to make sure you trust the wallet the cryptocurrency is being deposited into. The last thing you want is to leave a vulnerability for any of your earnings. This is an often-emphasized point, but you shouldn’t overlook it just because your past solution has worked for the small investments you put in.

Control the Risk

Never forget the fact that nothing is certain in investments, especially with bitcoin. This should steel you against the fact your investment may be lost. The fluctuations in the price of hardware, as well as the continuing increases in computing power, have turned bitcoin mining into somewhat of an arms race.

If you do find yourself feeling too risk averse to put significant funds into mining bitcoin, it might be better for you to just purchase bitcoins directly. This way, you are at least guaranteed to receive cryptocurrency.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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