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Asian Market Update – Wednesday: Bitcoin Resurges From Brief Correction

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Shanghai dawn

The Big Question: Bitcoin seems to be out of correction territory, but for how long?

Bitcoin prices rebounded overnight during Asian trading hours, shrugging off earlier losses, suggesting that the virtual currency might be out of the correction the followed earlier peaks, at least for now.

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Bitcoin started to spike in the early hours of the Asian trading session on Wednesday. It was trading at around $4,100, above the $4,000 level. That was a significant rebound from the day earlier, when the Bitcoin price dropped below the $4,000 mark and briefly traded below $3,700.

Wednesday’s surge comes as the blockhchain network might finally get technical upgrades that could solve the scaling issues. However, uncertainties remain as the effort to solve the issue could see a fight between Bitcoin and Segwit2X, which is used by traditional Bitcoin participants.

There was also other good news for Bitcoin or the broader blockchain technology. On Tuesday, former Bitcoin skeptic and American billionaire investor Mark Cuban decided to back cryptocurrency venture 1confirmation, which is looking to raise $20 million.

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Also, IBM has partnered with several of America’s largest food suppliers, including Wal-Mart, Dole and Unilever, to use blockchain to reduce food contamination.

Meanwhile, Ethereum saw a slight increase in price overnight. After dropping to as low as $309 on early Tuesday night, the Ethereum price bounced back and was trading at around $316.

Main Market Movers – Mid-day Asian Trading Session

Indexes Value at Midday Daily Change
Japan-Nikkei Stock Average 225 1,9473.17 0.46%
China-Shanghai Composite Index 3,282,79 -0.23%
Australia-ASX 200 5732.80 -0.3%
India-Mumbai Sensex 31,426.27 0.43%

Most major Asian indexes stalled after opening higher on Wednesday morning.

Stock markets in Tokyo, Sydney and Seoul opened higher on Wednesday, following gains on Wall Street. Around midday however, most major indexes were down.

In Japan, the Nikkei 225 was up 0.46 percent, trading at around 19473.17.

In China, the Shanghai Composite Index was slightly down, having lost 0.23 percent to 3,282.79.

In Australia, the benchmark ASX 200 skidded 0.3 percent to 5,732.80.

In India, the Mumbai Sensex rose 0.43 percent to 31,426.27.

Though the Dow spiked 196 points on Tuesday and Nasdaq was up 1.4 percent, as political tension in the US seemed to cool off a bit following Donald Trump’s speech on Monday night about Afghanistan and reemergence of talks about tax reforms in the US, uncertainties remain.

Watch out for these events: 

  1. A gathering of global central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, USA. Look out for clues on monetary easing.
  2. Korean Peninsula tensions. The US on Tuesday announced new sanctions on Chinese and Russian companies and individuals with ties to North Korea. Look out for responses from the rogue government in the North.
  3. Developments of US tax reforms. The Republican party seemed to be divided over racial tensions but tax reforms is one thing they relentlessly push for. Watch out for talks.

Currencies

The Japanese yen gained a slight 0.12 percent against the US dollar at Midday on Wednesday. The USD/JPY rate was at 109.43.

The Chinese yuan lost 0.01 percent against the greenback, trading at 6.6602 per dollar. The yuan has been trading lower since it reached a peak in mid-August when it strengthened to as high as around 6.69 per dollar, but has in recent days traded up again and is approaching its previous high. The longer term uptrend in the yuan that has persisted since early June is still intact, and there is potential for a further rise in the yuan if it can break through the previous swing high.

CNYUSD uptrend

The Australian dollar gained 0.28 percent against the US dollar. The Australian dollar was trading at 1.2671 per dollar.

Commodities

WTI Oil was up 0.21 percent to $47.71

Brent Crude also gained 0.21 percent to $51.72 per barrel

Gold was up 0.1 percent to $1,285.38 an ounce

Business News across Asia

In China, business news is focused on sanctions from the US on several Chinese companies that the US claimed to have ties with North Korea, and thus helping the country in its missile and nuclear program.

Take away: No official responses yet from China, but it will likely to further increase tension between the world’s two largest economies over trade, especially after the US launched a probe into Chinese trade practices. 

In Japan, legendary boss of Japanese tech giant Softbank, Grou Masayoshi Son, is reportedly going after a wide range of hot technologies, including robots and satellite technology, with his $100 billion fund created earlier this year. Son has recently traveled a lot to Silicon Valley to look for opportunities.

Take Away: The fund has not announced specific figures for its investments yet, but it will be focused on the hot artificial intelligence industry.

In South Korea: The country’s electronics giant Samsung is scheduled to release its Galaxy Note 8 this week, ahead of a highly anticipated release of its US rival Apple Inc’s new iPhone.

Take Away: By releasing the Note 8 ahead of Apple’s usual release time in September, Samsung is really taking on Apple. Keep an eye on the new technologies Samsung will introduce.

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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Litecoin and NEO Jump as Bitcoin Trades near $8000

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The cryptocurrency segment continued its bullish run, as the total value of the coins climbed above $230 billion for the first time ever, while Bitcoin also posted marginal new highs. The most valuable currency is still overbought regarding the long-term picture, and we continue to expect a deeper correction in the coming period, despite the recent strong rally. Support levels are still found $7700, $7000, and $6700 while the $8000 level is ahead as a major obstacle.

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BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Litecoin has been the most active major besides Bitcoin, as it rallied strongly after breaking out above the key $64 resistance and it breached the next target at $75 before heading below $70 again. The coin remains in bullish long- and short-term patterns, and we expect a move above the major resistance zone ahead with the next target found at $82.50.

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Litecoin/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

NEO is showing strength in the second half of the session, while Monero is recovering well from a short-term dip, similarly to IOTA and Ethereum Classic. Ethereum continues to represent stability in the segment, while Ripple failed to build up momentum so far after yesterdays spike higher. With still most of the altcoins being in bullish setups, let’s see the short-term charts.

(more…)

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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Ripple Breaks Out as Bitcoin Tests Highs

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Cryptocurrencies are having another bullish session as the total value of the market surged to a new all-time high near $225 billion, with the help of the rally in BTC and Ripple, and despite the drop in the value of Bitcoin Cash. The most valuable coin its record high yet again after the brief but steep weekend correction, despite the still overbought long-term picture. We still urge traders and investors to wait for a deeper correction before entering new positions here, with support levels found at $7000, $6700, and $6000.

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BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple has been the other main mover of the day so far, as the coin skyrocketed on huge volume and breached the $0.26 level before turning lower and stabilizing near $0.23. The coin triggered a short-term buy signal by moving above $0.2250 and it remains bullish on both time-frames, despite the pull-back, with another major target level ahead at $0.30.

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Ripple/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The other majors are little changed expect IOTA, which further added to yesterday’s gains and reached overbought readings, while Ethereum Classic and Dash continue to drift lower in short-term correction patterns. Let’s see the detailed analysis of the short-term charts.

(more…)

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Bitcoin

Wanna Take a Road Trip?

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After many blasts and sounds of gunfighting on the streets of Harare in Zimbabwe, it seems that the army finally has things under control.

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The 93 year old dictator Robert Mugabe is under house arrest for trying to set up his wife, AKA Gucci Grace, as the next leader. The military has seized control over the state media and is preparing for the first regime change in the countries modern history.

With the extremely volatile nature of cryptocurrencies, it’s difficult to view Bitcoin as a safe haven asset. But if you happen to live in a currency-less country in the midst of a coup that has ATM withdrawals capped at $20 a day, the worlds global digital currency seems to provide the only stable alternative.

One bitcoin is now going for about $12,499 in Zimbabwe’s markets. Anybody down for a road trip?

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@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of November 16th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Market Overview

The mild selling attitude that was observed on Wall Street has been completely reversed by Asian investors this morning. The Dow Jones fell 0.65 yesterday, which isn’t much but it is the biggest decline since September. After a big pushback, the China50 and Nikkei 225 are up more than 1.3% today.

This sudden surge in stocks comes as the currencies and commodities markets remain rather docile. There’s plenty of news events on the calendar today that could change that though and of course, all eyes are on Washington DC and the NYSE.

Sneaky Politics

Donald Trump’s Tax bill is expected to pass a vote in the House of Representatives today but it is very likely to fail in the Senate. Republicans took a bold move and tried to squeeze the “repeal of Obamacare” right into the tax cuts plan.

The new clause we will remove the fine for Americans who don’t purchase health insurance, a move that would basically render Obamacare impotent and topple the insurance companies. Sneakily, it would also reduce the effect of the tax bill on the long-term US deficit enough to allow House Republicans to pass the bill without the Democrats’ approval. Though this could be seen as progress, they’ve only brought themselves one step closer to a brick wall when the bill hits the Senate.

The promise of reduced corporate taxes has brought the stocks up quite significantly over the past few months and nobody really knows how well the prospect is currently priced into the markets. With the next Fed meeting a month away and earnings season almost over, this political drama is taking the center stage in American markets.

Crypto BattleGround

Over the past 24 hours, the value of all cryptocurrencies in circulation has risen by an outstanding $5 Billion and the entire market is now worth $220 Billion. Bitcoin itself has added $8.2 Billion to its market cap and now trading at $7,375 on eToro.

After the unification brought on by the cancellation of the Segwit2x hard fork and the quick rejection of the notion to replace BTC with BCH, the first and most popular digital currency is now asserting its dominance over the market.

However, the next $300 could prove very difficult ground to reclaim. There are generally less buyers when the market is near the top and it would require a breakout of the all time highs in order to generate new interest from new buyers.

The sugar rush on the 2x cancelation caused the price to spike as high as $7,872 (orange circle) so everything between the previous high (blue) and the all time high should be considered battleground territory.

Please let me know if you have any questions or comments. A lot of the info that I have comes directly from you, the readers. So please keep tagging me and sending in your thoughts.

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.
The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest money you can't afford to lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here.



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