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Asian Market Update: Bad Day for Coins – Both Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Down

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The Big Question: Has Bitcoin Reached a Temporary Peak?

Investors might be losing confidence over a recent rally that saw a few record highs in Bitcoin price.

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After trading above $4,300 on Thursday, the price for Bitcoin fell sharply, and is currently trading below $3,700, well below the $4,000 mark.

Some traders are reportedly losing confidence in the recent rally and believe that a correction is in order after bitcoin prices fell under the $4,000 mark several times since it first surpassed it. Others believe bitcoin will consolidate around $4,000.

Meanwhile, Ethereum also took a steep fall on Tuesday. After having gained sharply the day before, Ethereum quickly went into a dive, trading as low as 295 at one point. As of time of this writing, Ethereum was trading just above the 300 level, where it appears to have found some support.

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Main Market Movers – Mid-day Asian Market Update

Indexes Value at Midday Daily Change
Japan-Nikkei Stock Average 225 19,406.61 0.07%
China-Shanghai Composite Index 3,289.75 0.09%
Hong Kong-Hang Seng Index 27,437.92 1.04%
Australia-ASX All Ordinaries 5,801.70 0.83%
India-Mumbai Sensex 31,258.85 -0.84%

Major Asian indexes saw minor gains on Tuesday, led by Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, which saw a 1.04 percent increase.

In Japan, the Nikkei 225 reversed a loss on Monday as it edged up 0.07 percent to 19,406.61.

In China, the Shanghai Composite Index was also slightly up, having gained 0.09 percent to 3,289.75.

In Australia, the benchmark ASX All Ordinaries was up 0.83 percent to 5,801.70.

India’s Mumbai Sensex was down 0.84 percent.

With little broad economic data expected this month, investors are playing close attention to developments in the Korea Peninsula and an upcoming meeting of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

Tensions are high in the Korea Peninsula as US and South Korea militaries continue on a drill in the region. Though the number of US troops participating in the drill is down from previous drills, the drill, coming at a sensitive time, could further escalate the tension. The rogue North Korean government is showing no sign of backing down, calling the drill “reckless” and threatened nuclear war again.

In the short term, though, the gathering of global central bankers could be the main force in moving markets. The focus will be on a scheduled speech by US Fed Chair Janet Yellen in Jackson Hole, as the US is still under a tepid inflation cloud.

US President Donald Trump’s speech on Afghanistan, in which he raised the possibility of increased US military presence in Afghanistan without giving any details, did not appear to bother Asian markets much on Tuesday.

Currencies

The Japanese yen lost 0.25 percent against the US dollar. The USD/JPY exchange was at 1.09.2500 as of press time at 11:50 am.

The Chinese yuan strengthened 0.12 percent against the greenback, trading at 6.6577 per US dollar.

The Australian dollar gained 0.03 percent against the US dollar. The AUD/USD was trading at 0.7941.

Commodities

WTI Oil was up 0.36 percent to $47.54

Brent Crude gained 0.33 percent to $51.83 per barrel

Gold was down 0.18 percent to $1,294.40 an ounce

Business News across Asia

In China, the market is still talking about a restructuring plan from China Unicom, the second-largest telecom carrier in the country. The State-owned company announced a $11.7 billion ownership reform plan, under which private companies such as Alibaba Group and Tencent acquired a total of 35.19 percent. Stocks of China Unicom in Shanghai jumped more than 10 percent immediately after market open, while shares in Hong Kong dipped 1.6 percent.

Take away: The China Unicom move could mean more gigantic State-owned firms could pursue similar ownership shake-up in the coming months.

In Japan, the Bank of Japan is expanding its stock purchase as regional tensions and stagnating domestic economic growth plagued the Japanese stock market. The BOJ bought 3.58 trillion yen of stocks so far in 2017, while foreign investors only purchased 301.6 billion yen, per Nikkei Asian Review.

Take Away: The BOJ has 2 trillion yen more in buying power but negative side effects might surge.

In India: A nation-wide strike at public banks is taking place after unions called for the strike to protect against a government proposal to privatize public sector banks.

Take Away: Though operations at public banks remain open on Tuesday, services might get affected.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Cryptocurrencies Start Week on a Quiet Note as NEO Shines

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The broad Bitcoin-led correction continued to dominate trading in the crypto-segment throughout the weekend, as the most valuable coin drifted sideways above the key technical level at $13,000, with dwindling trading volumes.

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BTC remains in a declining short-term pattern, although the digital currency still holds well above the mini-crash lows from December, spending almost a month now in the daily range of the year-end plunge. We still expect the largest coin to complete the current cycle with a move below the crash lows and the $10,000 level after the stellar rally of the previous months. Key support is still found near $13,000, with further levels at $11,300, $10,000, $9000, and stronger levels at $8200 and $7700

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Altcoins also settled down across the boards with only a few coins registering strong activity. Ethereum and NEO have been among the coins making headlines, as the second largest coin continued to grind, higher still trading near its recent all-time high today. The price of the ETH token is moving in a short-term uptrend, in the face of the stretched momentum indicators, but we expect a meaningful correction soon, and long-term investors should wait for a more favorable technical setup before entering new positions, with key support levels at $1000, $850, $740, $625, and near $575.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple remained under heavy selling pressure in the meanwhile, as the oversold bounce of the weekend faded away and the coin got close last week’s lows again. As the short-term downtrend is intact, traders should stay away from entering new positions, while investors should wait for short-term sell-offs towards the main support levels at $1.50, $1.25, and $0.85 to add to their holdings.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Coins Rebound as Key Support Level Holds Bitcoin

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The $13,000 level in the price of Bitcoin continued to be the center attention of traders today, as the most valuable coin successfully tested the crucial support zone overnight, despite another brief dip below it. The other majors followed the subsequent bounce higher, with Ethereum pushing past $1250 once again, while Ripple reclaiming the $2 level.

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Despite the bounce, the short-term trend in Bitcoin is clearly bearish and the correction is still likely to continue, although the extreme long-term overbought readings are now cleared. We still expect a move towards the previous correction low near $11,300, with a likely dip below $10,000 before the end of the current cycle, with further important support levels are found at $9000, $8200, and $7700.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Ripple recovered slightly after nearing the $1.50 level and reaching short-term oversold readings, and the coin tested the primary resistance level at $2.1 yesterday in late trading. The currency remains in a strong short-term downtrend despite the bounce and the continuation of the correction is likely, although long-term investors could already accumulate new positions near the main support levels at  $1.50, $1.25, and $0.85.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum bounced of the dominant short-term trendline, but the coin remains overbought on all time-frames and we expect a trendline break in the coming days. That said, traders could hold smaller positions here with tight stops as a push towards the prior all-time high is still possible. Key support levels are found at $1000, $850, $740, $625, and near $575.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Tests $13,000 as Hectic Correction Continues

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The cryptocurrency segment remained generally bearish in the middle of the week, as the Ripple and Bitcoin-led move spread to almost all of the majors, with even the recent leader Ethereum getting hit today.

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As BTC got smashed below the dominant rising trendline, a wave of selling pushed the coin under the key $13,000 level before a violent bounce started. Despite the bounce, the long-term picture remains negative, and we still expect a test of the correction low near $11,300 in the coming weeks, with a likely dip below $10,000 before the end of the current cycle. Further important support levels are found at $9000, $8200, and $7700.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Ripple got very close to the key support level at $1.50 today in early trading, and after the sell signal six days ago, the coin is nearing a neutral short-term signal in our trend model, and a more durable bounce is possible here. That said, the long-term picture remains bearish and further corrective price action is likely before the end of the current cycle. Despite the likely consolidation, long-term investors could already accumulate new positions on the short-term sell-offs near the main support levels at  $1.50, $1.25, and $0.85.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum’s rally topped out near $1350 for now, and given the now severely overbought long-term picture we expect the short-term trend to end in the coming days. With that in mind, although traders could still enter small positions near the trendline, correction risk is now high, and investors should wait for a deeper move lower before entering new positions. Key support levels below $1000 are still found at $850, $740, $625, and near $575.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

(more…)

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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