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Analysis: NEO Price Skyrockets to $30 as Major Coins Settle Down

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The aftermath of Monday’s massacre turned out to be very volatile, but now trading in most of the majors calmed down, with only NEO continuing its crazy period. The most affected coin by Chinese ICO ban surged higher today and it’s now trading near its pre-announcement levels above $30, after doubling from its crash lows in a matter of days. The coin is now right at the declining trendline that dominated its correction off the all-time high near $52, and the long-term picture still looks promising. Resistance is ahead around the $40 level while strong support is found near $22.

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NEO/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The largest crypocurrencies are all modestly higher, with Bitcoin Cash gaining the most in the improving environment, while Litecoin also holding up well after its strong rebound. The rest of the market is quiet, with the coins trading in narrow ranges. Ethereum, Ripple, Monero, Dash, and ETC are all still well off their rally highs and the segment is still not out of the woods, with the long-term technicals still signaling overbought conditions. Let’s see how the short-term charts look today.

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Bitcoin

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin continues to be relatively strong, as the weakness in the USD and the still looming geopolitical risks help the most valuable coin, and the post-fork momentum also continues to push the BTC higher. The currency tested the $4400 level this morning, and it remains above the crucial support, despite the still overbought long-term picture. We expect more corrective action form the coin, but for now the short-term picture remains positive. Crucial support levels are still found near $4000, $3800, $3500 and $3150.

Ethereum

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

ETH is trading in the vicinity of the key $330 level, underperforming BTC during the rebound, but holding up above the $300 level after Monday’s strong decline. The coin faces short-term resistance near $350, and if the relative weakness of the token persists a dip towards the $300 level is likely in the coming days. Below that further support is found near $285 and $250, and investors should still wait with new positions until the correction runs its course.

Litecoin

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

LTC continues to be the strongest major together with BTC, trading just below its all-time high after the sharp rebound of the past two days. The long-term picture remains overbought, but the short-term momentum could propel the coin to a new high. Resistance is ahead near $95, while support is found at $80, $75, and near $64.

Dash

DASH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Dash is still stuck below the $360 price level after the bounce, and with the short-term momentum being back in neutral territory, the coin might be ready to roll over and head back towards $300. The long-term picture is still stretched, and more correction is likely before the next sustained move higher. Below $300 support is found at $265 and near $220.

Ripple

XRP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

XRP is still trading in the broad consolidation pattern that developed following the break-out from its long-term correction. The coin is hovering around the $0.22 resistance, and with the long-term picture still looking encouraging, we still advise long-term investors to hold on to their positions. Should the broad correction continue in the segment, the possible dips will present good buying opportunities, with support levels found at $0.20, $0.18, and $0.16.

Ethereum Classic

ETC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum Classic is trading just above the $18 level, similarly to XRP, both regarding the short- and long-term setups. The coin is expected to test the all-time highs after the current correction concludes, although volatile trading is expected until then. The long-term support zone near $14 should hold during the move, and the down swings could be good buying opportunities in the coin.

Monero

XMR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Monero is still overbought concerning the long-term picture, as it continues to trade below the $125 resistance, below the recent all-time high above $150. We still expect a move below $100 in the coming period, with further support levels found at $72 and $58. A short-term move towards the highs is still possible but long-term investors should still wait with new positions.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 224 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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3 Comments

3 Comments

  1. Andie

    September 7, 2017 at 6:08 pm

    “Skyrocket?” Rather hyperbolic.

  2. Attilathekilla

    September 7, 2017 at 9:00 pm

    Couple days ago we are sent a trade recommendation to buy ETH over 320 now we are told to wait as its expected to correct? . . . Would be nice to have an update on that specific trade.

  3. Chris G

    September 8, 2017 at 12:38 am

    Mati Greenspan recommended this one last week – should have scooped it up. I’m thinking it’s time to close short term positions on Ethereum.

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Analysis

More Chance to Go Up for Litecoin

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Litecoin short term outlook is quite positive, while in a longer term, it’s somewhat mixed. Shortly, the digital coin may face a very strong resistance at $141, being currently priced at $140. As Dmitriy Gurkovskiy, Chief Analyst at RoboForex, says, Litecoin already tried to test this level earlier this week, but did not succeed.

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In the mid-term Litecoin is trying to break out the current range, and in case it finally manages to break out $141 and stay above, it may go up to $168. Before reaching this target, however, another downtrend may be formed, with Litecoin plunging to the support at $114 again. If the bears succeed in breaking out this level, too, another sell-off target will be at $87.

Current outlook, however, is mostly positive, with the key support being at $114 and the key resistances at $141 and $168. The MACD on D1 is in its negatives, but is going up, issuing a buy signal, while the Stochastic is in the positive area and confirms its buy signal, already issued some time ago.

Fundamentally, Litecoin has got much support this week. The market started buying out the coin once the news on the token being listed at Korbit appeared. As the recent reports say, the crypto started being traded on Korbit yesterday, while withdrawal should be available starting today, Apr 19. This is important for Litecoin: first, Korbit is one of the oldest and most reliable exchanges in Korea; second, as we have already stated a few times, if the crypto becomes widespread across multiple exchanges, its liquidity gets boosted, while the accessibility simplifies the transaction processes.

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Korbit decided to hold a contest, with the top 6 LTC/KRW traders getting prizes in Litecoin (the winner gets LTC 50, the runner-up will walk away with LTC 25). Meanwhile, Litecoin being available on Korbit also helped the crypto to rise on Bitfinex.

Currently, Litecoin is one of the most volatile currencies, mostly because of it always being in the news, which does good to its promotion. As such, it was announced a few days ago that LTC would be used as a payment method, and TenX already started developing a prepaid card for that purpose.

By: Dmitriy Gurkovskiy, Chief Analyst at RoboForex

Disclaimer
Any predictions contained herein are based on the authors' particular opinion. This analysis shall not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex shall not be held liable for the results of the trades arising from relying upon trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Bitcoin Prices and Whale Sightings: Evaluating the Latest Trends

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Bitcoin’s value has skyrocketed 20% over the past eight days, but some say the upward trajectory isn’t as linear as it should be given the length of the most recent correction. The market’s sudden gyrations have left us with only one explanation: the bitcoin whales are back.

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Whale Spotting

It has been reported that the so-called bitcoin whales (those who hold oversized positions in the digital asset) dumped $100 million worth of BTC in less than 24 hours. For example, the anonymous balance of wallet 3D2oetdNuZUqQHPJmcMDDHYoqkyNVsFk9r declined by 6,500 BTC on Tuesday, which is equivalent to $50 million. As a result, bitcoin fell more than $200 on the major exchanges in just a few minutes.

Just one day earlier, bitcoin’s third-biggest wallet shed 6,600 units of the virtual currency at an average price of around $8,026.

Interestingly, a whale may have been responsible for the initial spike in BTC just one week ago. As we reported, a large order on Bitfinex triggered the initial spike in BTC as prices crossed $7,000 on the exchange. For the next two days, bitcoin would surge double-digits to breach $8,000 for the first time since late March.

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Investors are also keeping tabs on a high-profile whale based out of Tokyo, Japan. Nobuaki Kobayashi is in the process of liquidating billions of dollars on behalf of Mt Gox creditors. At last check, the trustee had sold about $400 million in bitcoin for an average sales price of $10,105. He’s expected to offload another $1.9 billion.

Speculation Grows

While advocates of bitcoin’s long-term value have barely flinched amid the latest downturn, speculators all but disappeared from the market. A simple analysis of Google search trends also reveals that laypeople have been losing interest in digital currencies since early February.

All that could be changing.

Cryptocurrencies have added nearly $100 billion to their market cap over the past week, with bitcoin doing much of the work. This appears to have compelled bitcoin’s large owners to sell their assets for reasons that are not yet unclear.

Of course, the multiple selloffs could just be coincidence or a bet that future prices will fall again. In the eyes of leading analysts, the latter appears to be less likely.

The head of Pantera Capital, who rarely predicts bitcoin’s future and is thus never wrong when he does, recently told clients that the digital currency has already bottom. Appearing on CNBC’s Fast Money, Dan Morehead said bitcoin’s bear market was just about over and that prices would continue rising from here on.

That said, choppy trading for bitcoin is hardly unusual and has come to be expected in a market that still lacks maturity. Whales or not, recent moves have made it harder to gauge the strength of the recovery.

That’s the message Thomas Lee of Fundstrat Global Advisors recently shared, according to Bloomberg.

“I think it feels off right now because, you know, we’ve been on a down trend since December, and now, even though the volatility hasn’t changed much, it’s hard to tell if bitcoin is trying to stage a recovery or if it’s continuing its down trend,” he said.

At the time of writing, bitcoin was valued at $8,175, having gained 3% over the past 24 hours.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 332 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Recommendations

Trade Recommendation: The Travelers Group

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Technical Overview

  • On January 23, The Travelers Company’s stock jumped nearly 5% after releasing their 4Q17 earnings (violet arrow in Figure 1). Then, during the “Feb Correction”, the stock pulled back to wipe out the entire gain, and more, over a couple of trading sessions.
  • Since then, the stock has been trading within a 7.5% trading range ($133 – $143.50 trading range – orange horizontal lines). In comparison, the broader markets have been swinging by more than 10% after the Feb 9 low was set.
  • More recently, over the past month, the stock has traded within an even tighter trading range, finding support at $135 and resistance at $140. On one hand, a key resistance continues to push prices lower upon every retest (red trendline and arrows). On the other hand, the stock has bounced off of a 6-month support over half-a-dozen times (green trendline and arrows).
  • The stock has been a laggard over the last 8 trading sessions, while markets recovered significantly and broke above key resistance levels.

Figure 1. TRV Daily Chart

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Implications

  • The stock’s tight trading range has resulted in options selling at below 20% IV for some expiries.
  • A break below the 6-month support is expected to result in a swift leg down, especially if the $133 level gets broken immediately after that.
  • A break above the red trendline likely to have the stock retest $140.

Outlook

  • Neutral with a bearish bias while the stock is trading between the red and green trendlines.
  • Bearish if the stock breaks the green trendline (currently at nearly $136).
  • If the stock breaks the red trendline, outlook will remain neutral, however with a bullish bias, as the stock will likely move higher by at least $3-$4 to retest $140.

Trading Recommendation

  • Buy the May, strike 135 put for roughly $2.40 – $2.60 or short the stock once the green trendline is broken. Use a close below $136 for a confirmation.  At the time of writing, at 11:20 am EST on April 18, the put is trading at $2.40 and the stock at $136.05.
  • Target: Cover stock/sell put when the stock reaches $130.
  • Stop: Cover stock/sell put if the stock closes above the red trendline (currently at $137.95 and falling by roughly 25 cents/day).

Benefit of Recommended Trade

  • A play on both direction and volatility (in the case of the put purchase).
  • A sloping-down resistance used as a stop, resulting in an improving risk-reward profile of the trade as time goes by.

Disclosure: Have a small put position and may buy more contracts based on the trading recommendation’s guidelines.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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