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Analysis: Litecoin Clears $50 as Ripple Dumps and Pumps

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As the rising trend in cryptocurrencies is reaching its latter stages, more and more coins are showing overbought readings, but there are still majors that are in promising technical setups. Litecoin has only now left a broad triangle consolidation pattern yesterday in late trading. The currency rose above the $50 level after an extended period of low-volatility trading, but so far it got smacked back below its all-time high near $56. We still expect a break-out from LTC in the coming days and a test of, at least, the $60 level.

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LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The other majors are a mixed bag today, with the previously strong coins experiencing heavy trading, especially Ripple and Monero. BTC and ETH are relatively calm, as Bitcoin is hovering around the $4200 level, while Ethereum is trading just below the key $330 resistance. XMR is down by 20% off its break-out high, ETC failed to hold above $16, while Ripple is stuck below $0.30, with Dash trading right at the $300 level again. The short-term technicals are diverging strongly, so let’s see how the majors look today.

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Bitcoin

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin is trading in a narrow range after the early week volatility, still within its short-term uptrend. The coin remains strenuously overbought regarding the long-term picture, but short-term more upside is possible. That said, investors should stay away from new positions until a deeper correction develops. Strong support is found at the $4000 price level, with further key levels near $3800, $3500, and $3150.

Ethereum

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

ETH is slightly higher today, but it remains near the crucial $330 resistance, despite the recent break-out attempt. As the coin is still well off its all-time high, and with the long-term picture still not being overbought, we still expect it to rise in the coming period. The next major resistance level is found at $380, while support zones are near $300 and $285.

Dash

DASH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Dash has been virtually unchanged since its weekend break-out and the following pull back, as it remains stuck slightly below $300. The coin is still overbought concerning the long-term picture, but the short-term momentum could be enough to propel it back to its highs. Major support levels are still found near $266, between $220 and $230, and at $200.

Ripple

XRP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple has been the most active major since it’s bullish move on Tuesday, and despite yesterday severe drop, the coin is just below its rally highs. The $0.30 level remains in focus, and XRP could remain volatile after the 100% jump. Key support is now found near $0.26 and $0.22, while resistance is ahead above $0.30 at $0.32, with the all-time high near $0.40. We expect the rally to continue after the lengthy correction, but short-term, more sideways price action is possible.

Ethereum Classic

ETC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum Classic continues to show signs of weakness, despite its recent move, as the first major resistance level at $16 stopped the advance. The coin is now above its prior downtrend, but a move below $14.50 would warn of further correction. Above $16 the next target would be $18, and for now, the currency remains on a buy signal both short- and long-term.

Monero

XMR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Monero entered a deeper correction after breaching the $100 level yesterday, as we expected. The coin is still overbought, and we expect more corrective price action after the strong rally. Long-term investors should wait with new positions, while traders should expect choppy trading in the coming period.

NEM

NEM/BTC, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

NEM has been trading in a low-volatility and low-volume range in the past couple of days, while the broad trading range around the 0.000065 level remained intact. Strong support levels are found near 0.0000575 and 0.000048, while resistance is ahead at 0.000075, and odds still favor a move back towards the recent high at 0.00009 as we expect a deeper Bitcoin correction.

NEO

NEO/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

NEO is still trading near the crucial support/resistance zone around the $40 level, after the recent breakout if the short-term correction pattern. The up-and-coming coin continues to look promising, with a likely re-test of its all-time high in the coming weeks. The token faces strong resistance at $47.50, while a base pattern near $30 provides long-term support.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 224 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. P. H. Madore

    August 24, 2017 at 8:41 pm

    Do you think ETC has a long future?

  2. Chris G

    August 24, 2017 at 11:54 pm

    Nice to see ltc move – next aim is 360+ for eth …

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Analysis

Crypto Update: Ethereum Tops $550 as Altcoins Hit New Rally Highs

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The major coins are having another bullish day after a consolidation period with all of the top 10 cryptocurrencies sporting meaningful gains. Altcoins are leading the charge higher, as the switch in relative strength that we pointed out several times seems to be a lasting phenomenon, with the ETH/BTC pair confirming a short-term uptrend.

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BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin is also up today, but while the majority of altcoins are trading on new rally highs, BTC is stuck below the prior swing high at $8400, which is also a previously established resistance level. The dominant declining trendline is also in that area, and that strong zone could hold back the largest coin for a longer period. A breakout would confirm a new rising short-term trend, with the next major resistance zone ahead between $9000 and $9200.

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ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum is among the strongest coins short-term, and with smaller cap altcoins also joining the rally, the whole segment could be ready for a move higher. That said, the broader declining trend is still intact with the coin trading in a strong resistance zone between $555 and $575. A new short-term uptrend is now confirmed but with the declining trendline just ahead, the coin could be in for volatile swings in the coming days. The next target zone is at $625, while support is found at $500 and $450.

Broad Altcoin Rally Lifts All Ships

XRP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple, which was among the weakest majors for a prolonged period is one of the leaders today, climbing above $0.75, and eyeing the next major level at $0.84, with tbe coin already being above the previously dominant declining trendline.

On a slightly negative note, correlations are still high between the majors, but there are standout performers despite the concerted rally. Among the long-term leaders, Litecoin is trading near $150, while Monero added to yesterday’s gains, and it’s testing the $240 resistance as we speak.

The early leaders of the rally are slightly lagging in the current short-term swing, but that is likely a sign of rotation, as the likes of EOS, NEO, and IOTA are also higher today, while holding up wrll above the correction lows.

With all of the majors on buy signals in our trend model, we expect the rally to continue even as strong resistance zones are ahead and the road will likely be bumpy after the steep and lengthy downswing.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Rally Fades in Stocks as Apple Weighs on Nasdaq

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We warned yesterday that stock markets got vulnerable as the major US indices reached short-term overbought readings, and after a choppy Wednesday session, equities turned lower today in early trading. Apple fell by more than 2% in early trading on a supplier report regarding declining orders from the smartphone giant, and the sliding stock dragged the tech segment lower.

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S&P 500 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While the short-term technical picture deteriorated, the losses are muted so far, and the rising short-term trendlines are holding up. Volatility ticked higher, with the VIX bouncing off its two-month lows, but the index is well below the levels seen in the beginning of the month, as Syria-related fears continued to ease and the Chinese-US trade spat also took the back seat in the mainstream media.

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DAX, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Stocks finished broadly lower in Europe, while Asian equities reversed their early gains, with trading volumes still being low across the board. The economic calendar was almost empty today, with only the much worse than expected British retail sales figure adding to the string of negative surprises coming out form the UK this week. In the US, the Philly Fed index came in higher than expected, while weekly jobless claims were in line with expectations.

Dollar Stable as Short Yields Hit New Highs

2-Year Treasury Yields, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Treasury yields resumed their rise in the quiet environment, and as the short end of the curve continues to outperform the flattening of the yield curve continues in earnest. While forex markets are still mostly flat, the Dollar is drifting higher against most of its peers in US trading.

AUD/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Commodity-related currencies are little changed, although both the Aussie and the Canadian Dollar are off their recent highs, and should they roll over, the bullish case would receive another hit.  Despite the weakening of the risk rally, crude oil continues to hit multi-year highs, with the WTI contract getting close to the $70 per dollar level today. Gold fell back below $1350, as the choppy consolidation pattern is still intact, and the slight risk-off shift wasn’t enough to trigger meaningful safe-haven flows.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

More Chance to Go Up for Litecoin

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Litecoin short term outlook is quite positive, while in a longer term, it’s somewhat mixed. Shortly, the digital coin may face a very strong resistance at $141, being currently priced at $140. As Dmitriy Gurkovskiy, Chief Analyst at RoboForex, says, Litecoin already tried to test this level earlier this week, but did not succeed.

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In the mid-term Litecoin is trying to break out the current range, and in case it finally manages to break out $141 and stay above, it may go up to $168. Before reaching this target, however, another downtrend may be formed, with Litecoin plunging to the support at $114 again. If the bears succeed in breaking out this level, too, another sell-off target will be at $87.

Current outlook, however, is mostly positive, with the key support being at $114 and the key resistances at $141 and $168. The MACD on D1 is in its negatives, but is going up, issuing a buy signal, while the Stochastic is in the positive area and confirms its buy signal, already issued some time ago.

Fundamentally, Litecoin has got much support this week. The market started buying out the coin once the news on the token being listed at Korbit appeared. As the recent reports say, the crypto started being traded on Korbit yesterday, while withdrawal should be available starting today, Apr 19. This is important for Litecoin: first, Korbit is one of the oldest and most reliable exchanges in Korea; second, as we have already stated a few times, if the crypto becomes widespread across multiple exchanges, its liquidity gets boosted, while the accessibility simplifies the transaction processes.

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Korbit decided to hold a contest, with the top 6 LTC/KRW traders getting prizes in Litecoin (the winner gets LTC 50, the runner-up will walk away with LTC 25). Meanwhile, Litecoin being available on Korbit also helped the crypto to rise on Bitfinex.

Currently, Litecoin is one of the most volatile currencies, mostly because of it always being in the news, which does good to its promotion. As such, it was announced a few days ago that LTC would be used as a payment method, and TenX already started developing a prepaid card for that purpose.

By: Dmitriy Gurkovskiy, Chief Analyst at RoboForex

Disclaimer
Any predictions contained herein are based on the authors' particular opinion. This analysis shall not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex shall not be held liable for the results of the trades arising from relying upon trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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I have two degrees in Social Psychology and Economy. After graduation I worked as the Head of the Laboratory of Technical and Fundamental Analysis of Financial Markets at The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. The experience and skills he gained helped me to realize my potential as an analyst-trader and a portfolio manager in an investment company. At the moment I'm a financial expert, writing for various financial media sources and a Chief Analyst at RoboMarkets.




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