Analysis: Cryptocurrency Rebound Continues as BTC Climbs Above $4500

Huge moves continue to dominate the crypto segment, as the most valuable coins regained a large chunk of their recent plunge with Bitcoin leading the way higher. The rally cleared the short-term oversold readings of the decline and the dominant currency is now at make-or-break levels, with the $4400 level being the most important support/resistance line from a technical perspective. A deeper correction is still likely given the long-term picture, with the $3800, $3500, and $3150 levels providing strong support, and resistance being ahead at $5000.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

NEO continues to be the most volatile of majors, as it is the most affected by the Chinese ICO ban, and today it is down by double digits once again, being the only large coin sporting a loss. Ethereum is also underperforming Bitcoin in the rebound and the other majors, such as Litecoin, Dash, Monero, NEM, and Ripple are also well below their previous highs, amid the geopolitical tensions, that favor the safe haven of BTC.  The short-term picture is neutral for most of the coins we track, but let’s see the details of the technical outlook.

Ethereum

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

ETH reached up above the $330 resistance level during the bounce and it’s getting close to cleat the short-term oversold readings as well. The coin is less stretched than BTC regarding the long-term picture but more sideways corrective price action is likely before a move towards the all-time high near $400. Further support is found near $300, $285 and $250, while primary resistance is ahead at $380.

Litecoin

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

LTC registered one of the strongest rebound among the majors, trading near the 480 level very close to its prior sustained high. The coin is near the upper boundary of its long-term trendline, and it is still overbought from an investment standpoint, but a short-term rally to test or even surpass is possible given the somewhat late break-out. Support is found near $64, $56, and at $51.

Dash

DASH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Dash spiked above the $360 resistance during the bounce today in early trading, but it now trades back below that level, and it might be ready to head lower again in the coming days. The long-term picture is clearly overbought, and the coin is still likely to dip below $300 before a sustained move higher, with further support found at $265, and resistance ahead near $400.

Ripple

XRP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

XRP is still trading in a broad consolidation pattern after its break-out from the long-standing downtrend, as it currently stands at the $0.22 resistance after today’s bounce. The declining short-term trendline is now found near $0.24, with further levels ahead at $0.26 and near $0.30. The long-term picture is not as stretched as some of the other majors, and we expect outperformance from the coin in the coming weeks, with support just below $0.20 and near $0.18.

Ethereum Classic

ETC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum Classic produced a healthy bounce, after touching the $16 support and it is trading above the $18 level as well. The coin is still in a similar position to Ripple, still not being overbought regarding the long-term picture. We still expect the currency to reach a new high in the coming period, but more volatility expected in the short-term as the broad correction unfolds in the segment.

Monero

XMR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Monero is trading just below the crucial $125 support/resistance level after rallying off the $100 support. The coin is following the broader market thanks to the elevated correlation in the sector, and we expect more downside following the huge rally of the previous weeks. Below $100 strong support is still found near $72 and around $58.

NEM

NEM/BTC, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

NEM is still trading in a short-term range within a broader consolidation pattern against BTC. The currency is just below the 0.000065 support/resistance level, with further levels at 0.0000575 and at 0.000048, while strong resistance is ahead at 0.00009.

NEO

NEO/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

NEO is still the most volatile coin, and it is heavily underperforming the other majors today, falling back to the $20 level after trading near $25 yesterday. The coin remains 60% below its all-time high following the Monday-crash, and it is expected to remain volatile as the market digests the ICO ban. Above $25 strong resistance is ahead at $30 and near $44, while primary support is near $16.

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Author:
Trader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.