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Analysis: Bitcoin and Ethereum Shine as Market Hits $160 Billion

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The two largest coins are on the move today, as Ethereum finally cleared the $350 mark after a period of gradually increasing prices, while Bitcoin is now at a new all-time high above the $4500 level. With the two behemoths increasing their market capitalization and BTC crossing $75 Billion for the first time, the total value of the segment got a boost as well, hitting $160 billion today. While Bitcoin is overbought regarding the long-term picture, the current rally could still carry the currency somewhat higher, although the odds of a bull trap are much higher than before, so only short-term traders should ride the wave, while investors should wait for a deeper correction to jump back in.

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BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

On the negative side, Monero and NEO are well below yesterday’s levels, and Litecoin is also lower than its break-out highs from the first session of the week. Dash, NEM, ETC, and Ripple are little changed, although XRP continues to be volatile, as bulls and bears battle for control near the $0.22 level. As the current leg higher in the sector is in its mature phase, risks are higher for investors, with only a few majors being clearly bullish and not overbought. Let’s see the detailed short-term analysis of the coins.

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Ethereum

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

ETH is closing in on the $380 target level after today’s 5% rise, as the rising short-term trend remains intact. The all-time highs of the token are also within 10% now and a test of the $400 mark is in the cards in the coming days. The coin still has room to rally according to long-term momentum readings, so investors could still hold on to their positions for a possible break-out to new highs. Support levels are found at $330, $300, and $285.

Litecoin

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

LTC is consolidating above the $60 level after its recent break-out. The coin hit a new high near $65, finally topping our long-term range projection target. With the long-term picture still being encouraging, a move towards $70 is still possible, and investors could still hold on to, at least part of their positions. Support is now found near the prior high at $56, near $51 and around the $46 level.

Dash

DASH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Dash is trading in a narrow range today after retreating off the $400 level, back to the prior break-out high. The coin broke the short-term rising trendline, and although that doesn’t mean that a decline is imminent, the picture is risky for long-term investors, given the overbought momentum readings after the huge rally.  Strong support is found at $300, and near $266, and we expect a correction towards $300 in the coming weeks.

Ripple

XRP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple is experiencing elevated volatility since its break-out from the prior long-term consolidation pattern, with the support/resistance zone around the $0.22 level still being in focus. The coin completed a short-term correction after the initial surge and a move above the declining trendline would open up the way towards the $0.30 again. Key support is found near the $0.20 level and at $0.18.

Ethereum Classic

ETC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum Classic is drifting sideways today, still being stuck below the $16 level, as the current weak uptrend is in danger now. The coin remains the weakest major in the current leg of the bull market, and that could point ot further consolidation before a move back towards its prior highs. Resistance is ahead near $16, $18 and $23, while long-term support found around the $14 level.

Monero

XMR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Monero is retreating after a failed short-term break-out above $150, as the steep uptrend in the coin is in danger now. XMR might be ready for a deeper correction in the coming period, after rising 400% since the July lows. Support is found near $125, at $100, $80, while only the recent highs are ahead as resistance.

NEM

NEM/BTC, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

NEM is still stuck in the broad trading range around the 0.000065 level despite yesterday’s encouraging strength, as the move in BTC pushed the pair lower today. As we still expect a deeper correction in Bitcoin, the pair could test the 0.000075 level again soon, while support is still found near 0.0000575 and 0.000048.

NEO

NEO/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

NEO fell sharply today in early trading after failing to rise back above $40 sustainably for almost a week. The coin found support near the $30 level again, and that zone could be in focus in the coming days if volatile trading continues in the currency. Short-term traders should wait until a new trend is established, while long-term investors should hold on to their positions.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 234 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. jjkateam

    August 29, 2017 at 11:47 pm

    Hi, it would be great to get your opinion on TenX, do you see it as a game changer? What do u think will happen come September when the IOS app is released?

  2. Chris G

    August 30, 2017 at 5:16 pm

    I was hoping ETH would wait on breaking out until I had moved more funds in. Ahwell, still have done great on it all though I am not seeing any clear entry points atm. Maybe wait for Dash to correct …

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Analysis

The Raiden Network: Is Now A Good Time To Invest In RDN?

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It seems like we have talked about the need for speed whenever the topic of blockchains and cryptocurrencies are mentioned.  These days, transactions are consuming huge amounts of energy and still only perking along at 10-15 per second. If there is a crypto future this rate isn’t going to get us there.  As we all know, Mastercard and Visa work with a system supposedly doing 100,000 per second.

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Who knows if that number is absolutely accurate of some smoke but one thing we know: 10-15 per second is pathetic.  Bitcoin’s potential savor is The Lightning Network. The latest version was released within the last few weeks. Along with about everybody else, we will be watching closely to get a read on TLN.

A Savior For Ether Investors?

The Raiden Network could save Ethereum from techno irrelevance.  The important word here is could. That is because there is lots of Ethereum envy out there.  There are folks such as Cardano and NEO that have their own blockchain platforms complete with smart contracts.  Then there is Liquidity.Network, the recently announced Ethereum focused competitor to Raiden.

Creating A Separate Coin For Investors

Raiden Network completed its ICO last November, raising $32.8 million.  Rather than simply creating a fork of ether, developers created the opportunity for investors to directly participate in a solution that could save the day for Ethereum and investors in ether.  

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I do not own any RDN.  A small amount of ETH has my name on it, so I am eager to find the protocol that can protect my measly holdings.  Here is what gets me interested in Raiden.

Well Along In The Development Process

RDN has been around for about the same amount of time as Ethereum dating to 2015. That is about 21 in dog years and practically a millennium in crypto time.  But the development team strikes me as the most interesting part.

RDN is being developed by BrainBot Technologies AG.  This is not a smattering of amateurs but a company with a deep bench of developers and a history of successful projects.  Check them out at brainbot.com.

Last November, Brainbot demonstrated the high throughput and low latency of the Raiden Network with a demonstration of Micro Raiden applied in real-time, showcasing the great potential for products that require the type of high speed transactions involved with the Ethereum blockchain.

Off The Blockchain

Technical reports describe The Raiden Network as an open source, trustless, fast, inexpensive and scalable off-chain payment solution for the Ethereum blockchain. This means it functions smoothly with the Ethereum platform. The Raiden Network provides bidirectional payment channels for low scale value exchanges of ERC20 compliant tokens to users within the Raiden Network. These bidirectional payment channels may interlock to create a system of channels between infinite parties in a hive.

Translated into comprehensible english, Radien promises almost instantaneous transactions with fees low enough to attract low value transactions. At less than $0.01 per transaction, a $5 latte fits.  Ethereum fees at the peak last year were more $4.15. So the potential for Raiden is really big.

In fairness it should be mentioned that Ethereum is considering options such as sharding and that would reduce the singular importance of Raiden. So perhaps the role of savior is a bit extreme.  But sharding is not likely to be a preemptive force. Raiden development is that much further along.

Speaking Out

Members of the Raiden development team are taking their show on the road having made presentations recently in Tokyo.  The next event is scheduled for Toronto this coming week on May 4th. The presentation is being billed as an opportunity to give an update on the progress in deploying the network.  This is a date to put in your digital calendar if you own ETH or have an interest in RDN.

Aside from the obvious reasons, here is why.  Like about every other crypto, RDN peaked in price in early January around $8.65 before taking a plunge to less than $1.20 by April.  This drop of 87% made RDN one of the worst performers in the recent crash. In addition to all the crypto market woes, there were delays in the network deployment.  That is enough to disappoint anyone.

Since early April RDN’s price has rebounded to about the $2.00 level.  Even so this is a long way from the good old days of 2017. Logic dictates that a good showing in Toronto might translate into investors taking notice.   By good showing we are talking about favorable news about Raiden deployment.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 64 rated postsJames Waggoner is a veteran Wall Street analyst and hedge fund manager who has spent the past few years researching the fintech possibilities of cryptocurrencies. He has a special passion for writing about the future of crypto.




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Analysis

Euro hits 3-Month Low Despite Hawkish Draghi

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All eyes were on the European Central Bank and Mario Draghi today, as the recent string of disappointing economic data put pressure on the Euro. Investors started questioning that the ECB will follow through with its monetary tightening plans. As far as the actual momentary policies are concerned, the central bank left everything unchanged today, while the head of the bank signaled that he is confident about growth in the Euro-zone, sparking initial buying in the common currency.

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EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Despite the hawkish words of “Super Mario” the Euro took a sharp turn lower right at the US open, and the EUR/USD dipped below 1.2150, hitting the lowest level since January. From a technical standpoint, the most traded pair is at a very important juncture, and should the break below support hold, a quick move below $1.20 is likely.

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S&P 500 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Stocks are higher for the second day in a row after the strong bearish move in Tuesday, with the NASDAQ leading the way higher, led by Facebook, as the recently troubled social media giant is staging a strong bounce following yesterday’s positive quarterly earnings report. Despite the rally, the charts still suggest that there are more troubles ahead for bulls, with the short-term downtrend clearly being intact in the major indices.

Facebook (FB), 4-Hour Chart Analysis

US Treasury yields which have been in the focus in the last days are slightly lower today, especially regarding the longer end of the curve, as core durable goods orders came in much lower than expected, even as the less reliable headline number beat the consensus estimate. While it’s unlikely that the rising trend in yields will be broken, a correction is in the cards after the strong move higher in rates.

Dollar Rally Dominates Forex Markets

USD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Should Treasury yields pull back substantially from their highs that could mean that a correction the Dollar rally is also ahead, as the Greenback looks stretched from a short-term standpoint too. The Dollar’s strength also weighs on commodities, with gold dropping below $1320 and WTI crude oil falling back below $68 per barrel.

Commodity currencies are still under pressure too, while European and Asian stocks are benefiting from the USD rally, which will remain in the center of attention this week.

Featured image from Shutterstock            

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 234 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Correction Continues but Uptrend Not in Danger

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The major cryptocurrencies are consolidating in a choppy range today following yesterday’s sharp pullback, with the total value of the market stabilizing near the $400 billion level. All of the largest coins found support above key support levels, keeping the bullish trend intact, as the overbought readings are being cleared.

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While the correction will likely continue and our trend model is still only neutral from a short-term perspective in the case of most of the coins, the underlying trend is positive, and we expect the recovery to resume after the dip.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Bitcoin fell below the $9000-$9200 support/resistance zone during the pullback, but it remained above the $8400 level that marks the previous swing high. The MACD indicator is still showing a downswing, but it is now in neutral territory, and the coin could already be ready to resume the uptrend and aggressive traders could enter new positions, using the overnight low as a stop loss level. Below $8400, further support is found near the $7650 level, while targets are ahead at $10,000 and $10,500.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum found support just below the $600 level and moved back to the vicinity of the $625 support level holding within the steep short-term uptrend.  A break below the trendline is still likely, and a test of the $555 to $575 zone is possible after the strong rally. That said, ETH, one of the leaders of the upswing is expected to resume the recovery after the correction, and long-term investors should hold on to their coins despite the move. Further support is at $500, with targets still ahead near $735, $780, and $845.

EOS Holding Up Well Amid Broad Correction

EOS/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EOS has been spearheading the broad rally in the segment, and the coin got close to the prior all-time high before the current correction, being the largest coin to do so since January. Although the currency retreated somewhat from the highs, it remains from a short-term perspective and traders should use tight stop losses or reduce their positions as correction risk is high here.

IOTA is the closest to giving a short-term buy signal among the majors, as it began the correction earlier and found strong support near the previous swing high, while there are no negative outliers that would hint on a failed rally off the recent multi-month lows. With that in mind, long-term investors could still use the current correction to boost their altcoin holdings.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 234 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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