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Cryptocurrencies

All That Money

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Hi Everybody

Hope you had an awesome weekend. If you’re investing in cryptos you definately did.

The cryptocurrency markets are surging again with Bitcoin leading the way. The shiny digital currency saw a new all time high over the weekend to top $3,344 a coin.

All that new value that materialized with the emergence of Bitcoin Cash has been sucked up by Bitcoin itself as we’ll discover below.

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Today’s Highlights

President Out

OPEC Talks

Another Fork Coming

Please note: All data, figures & graphs below are valid as of August 7th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Market Overview

Failed healthcare, new Russia Sanctions, Tax reform hasn’t even started yet, North Korea sanctions ramping up, Special Investigator on his tail, but where is the President?

On vacation, playing golf, of course.

Trump must’ve mentioned every single time that Obama smacked the little white ball so it’s only fitting that we do the same for him.

The man can afford a break though. The markets are behaving nicely. The Dow Jones has now broken a new all time record for eight straight sessions in a row and the U.S. Dollar is weakening just like he wanted it to.

Sticky Stuff

Members of the OPEC oil price fixing group will be meeting today and tomorrow. Last time they met markets were impressed by their ability to speak about the option to intervene in markets and prop up the price further if needed.

If they were disapointed by the fact that Nigeria and Libya were not discussed, it didn’t show up in the price. The articles preparing for today’s meeting seem almost exactly the same as they did ahead of the last. With many analysts stating that they need to put output caps on the two delinquent countries.

The price of oil is dipping this morning as it did last time. Will the members say something different this time? Will the markets react the same?

Though the fundamentals are strikingly similar the technicals are much different. In the last meeting the price was relatively low. Right now, we’re at a price that could be seen as average.

The blue line in the graph below is the 200 day moving average. The dotted yellow line represents a strong resistance that has been building over the course of this year. Of course, let’s not forget the very round level of $50 a barrel that we are now hovering just below.

A $2 move up would mean a breakout of all three key figures. A $2 move in the other direction would mean that they’re holding strong.

Bitcash Down

All that money that seemingly came out of thin air to pump up the value of Bitcash is now being fed right into Bitcoin.

Bitcash has fallen from its peak of $12 Billion all the way down below $4 Billion this morning.

During the same time, the market cap of Bitcoin was $44 Billion, and it is now up above $53 Billion.

Bitcash sought to replace the original form of digital money but the miners never embraced it. As it was seen by many as something for nothing, many users are now dumping.

This hard fork that came out of nowhere threw a monkey wrench into the bitcoin scaling debate. However, that debate is still playing out and it seems we’re finally reaching a consensus. SegWit is now almost certain to be implemented shortly and miners are showing overwhelming support for the SegWit2x solution.

So, within the next few months, we will likely get another hard fork. This one with overwhelming support from the Bitcoin community.

Let’s have an awesome week ahead!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.

The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Featured image from Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 152 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. embersburnbrightly

    August 7, 2017 at 3:46 pm

    That disparity between US stock values and US dollar values is quite scary, especially since I’m a resident of the US. What happens to the US dollar when an overvalued stock market suddenly crashes? Nothing good for those who use that currency for their nation’s economy.

    “Make America Broke Again.”

    🙁

  2. fadishop

    August 7, 2017 at 4:39 pm

    About Bitcash. It is an opinion of a market trader, a Bitcoin fascist, who is bought in Bitcoin, does not accept discrepancies and can not see that the Bitcoin transfers do not work and that Bitcash does not have support but it is a solution at the moment. It does not matter how important it is to have a market, to be bought and to find the trend.
      I have been a miner and I understand that they ask for more rewards, the exchanges ask for more commissions but when they make the transfers they ask for $ 4 and they only pay $ 0.5 on the network. Bitcoin continues with the same problems.

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Altcoins

Bitcoin Cash Price Analysis: Bullish Pennant Pattern Confirmed

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  • Bitcoin Cash price remains very much elevated, as the bulls continue to run north.
  • BCH/USD price action has formed a bullish pennant pattern formation, subject to a breakout higher.

BCH/USD: Recent Price Behavior

The Bitcoin Cash price has been a notable out-performer over the past few sessions, with the BCH/USD pair rallying as much as 23% since 17th February. In doing so, it reached its highest levels in over six weeks. The aggressive move north came after a prolonged period of range-bound trading via the daily chart view.

Between 8th – 17th February, BCH/USD was moving within an extremely narrowing range-block formation. This represented a lack of commitment from both camps after being confined within a range low of $117 to a high around $125. On 18th February, the bulls managed to force a breach and daily closure above the confines of the mentioned range.

Coinbase Adds Bitcoin Cash Support to Wallet App

Coinbase, a U.S.-based cryptocurrency exchange and wallet service provider, announced it has added support of BCH to its Coinbase Wallet.

“The new Wallet update with Bitcoin Cash support will roll out to all users on iOS and Android over the next few weeks,” the company said in an official blog post.

The app will facilitate support for both CashAddr and legacy addresses. Private keys will be encrypted on the mobile device by the Coinbase mobile wallet. Last week Coinbase announced the following: “users can now back up an encrypted version of your Coinbase Wallet’s private keys to your personal cloud storage accounts, using either Google Drive or iCloud This new feature provides a safeguard for users, helping them avoid losing their funds if they lose their device or misplace their private keys.”

Technical Review – BCH/USD

BCH/USD 4-hour chart.

At the time of writing, the BCH/USD price is still holding at elevated levels, with gains in the session amounting to 2.5%. Over the last two sessions, between 19-20th February, the price action has somewhat moved within a range. The detailed price behavior has seen a bullish pennant pattern formation, which is subject to a further potential move north.

Near-term resistance is eyed at $145.50, where the upper acting trend line of the pennant is tracking. Should the bulls manage to break this down, then expect a fresh wave of selling pressure to kick in. To the upside, eyes will then be on supply observed up within the $160-$165 price range.

In terms of near-term support, the lower acting trend line of the pennant which is tracking at $140 is the next major target; a breach could then expose critical daily support at $137. Lastly, if neither safety nets protect the price from falling, then there runs the risk of a full reversal of the recent gains.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 125 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Test Swing Highs Litecoin Runs Into Resistance

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The major cryptocurrencies continue to trade with a bullish bias after establishing a new short-term uptrend this week. The top coins are all holding on to the bulk of their recent gains, even as most of them entered consolidation patterns on the heels of the strong rally in the segment. With still only Ripple lagging the broader market notably, the immediate outlook remains positive, despite the still bearish long-term picture.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Today, the initially leading Litecoin shined again, pushing past the $50 level and hitting the long-term resistance zone near $51. As LTC is overbought due to its recent lofty gains, the coin is now only on a neutral short-term signal in our trend model, since the bearish long-term setup continues to warrant caution for bulls here.

That said, the rising short-term trend is intact, and should the coin clear the overbought momentum readings, traders could enter small, speculative positions using strict risk management rules. Support levels are now found near $47, $44, and $38, while the next major resistance zone is ahead near the $56 price level.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin entered a consolidation pattern today, as we expected, after touching the longer-term zone resistance zone between $4000 and $4050. The momentum indicators hint on further consolidation, and in light of hostile long-term setup, traders should wait for the overbought readings to be cleared before entering new short-term positions.

Below the initial level $3850 support, further levels are found near $3600 and just above $3450, while the next resistance zone above $4050 is ahead near $4450. The short-term uptrend is intact in BTC, and our trend model remains on a short-term buy signal.

Ethereum Tries to Form Swing Low while Ripple Fights Trendline

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum entered a shallow correction after hitting the resistance zone near $145, but the price action and the volume patterns continue to support the bullish short-term case. The $160 price level remains a viable target for bulls but the momentum indicators continue to show overbought readings. The short-term uptrend is intact and our trend model is still on a short-term buy signal as well. Support levels are found near $130 and $112 while above $160 resistance is ahead near $180.

EOS/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Only a few of the major altcoins managed to follow Litecoin to a new swing high today, but EOS slightly extended its rally, despite being severely overbought from a short-term perspective. While the new high is a positive sign for the coming period, EOS remains only neutral in our trend model, and traders should wait for the oversold readings to be cleared before entering new positions.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While the leadership of the rally is still healthy, Ripple continues to lag the leaders, still fighting with the declining trendline that stopped the recent rally attempt in the coin. XRP is holding up above the $0.32 level, but it’s stuck below the recent swing high, and traders should still focus on the relatively stronger coins despite the short-term buy signal in our trend model.

From a long-term perspective, technicals remain negative, and a move towards the $0.28 and $0.26 levels remains likely. Further support zones are found near $0.32 and $0.30, while short-term targets are still ahead near $0.3550, and $$0.3750.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 468 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

Litecoin, EOS, Binance Coin, Maker: Altcoins Leading the Charge

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Crypto valuations experienced a slight pullback Wednesday, though a small contingency of altcoins continued to see impressive gains, a sign that the latest uptrend still had room to mobilize.

Crypto Market Update

Most of the top 20 cryptocurrencies reported losses overnight, raising the specter of a ‘bull trap’ following the latest recovery attempt. The downside risk has since moderated, with a small handful of altcoins reporting gains.

EOS (EOS) gained 4.4% to $3.80, extending an early-week rally that pushed prices to nearly three-month highs. The Enterprise Operating System is up more than 30% since Sunday.

The Litecoin (LTC) price crossed $51.00 for the first time since mid-November, gaining 4.8% in the process. The cryptocurrency has gained a whopping 80% over the past two weeks, which helped to engineer a market-wide rally. Read more: Litecoin Sparks Huge Crypto Rally as Bitcoin Smashes Through $3,700.

Litecoin is benefitting from adoption progress after SpendApp announced it will begin supporting the cryptocurrency at more than 40 million locations. Combined with the anticipated ‘halving’ event in August, Litecoin continues to attract strong bids.

Meanwhile, the meteoric rise of Binance Coin (BNB) continued on Wednesday. The price surged 11% to $10.94, the highest since last August. Binance Coin is benefiting from positive publicity tied to its underlying exchange, including the launch of a new token sale platform.

Maker (MKR), which is comprised of a stablecoin, collateral loans and a decentralized governance framework, rounded out the big gainers on Wednesday. MKR jumped 10.4% to $652.10, placing it in 16th in terms of market cap.

Want an introduction to MKR? Read: What’s Driving Maker (MKR)? High-Priced Coin Outshines Peers.

The combined cryptocurrency market cap is currently valued at $134.8 billion, up from an earlier low of $132.3 billion.

Does the Rally Have Legs?

While appearing sudden, the crypto rally that began on Sunday was actually weeks and perhaps even months in the making. As Hacked predicted before the rally, the sharp rise in coin circulation and overall trading volume, combined with the relative decline in volatility, pointed to higher prices in the near term.

On Tuesday, bitcoin’s 24-hour trading volume topped $10 billion for the first time in ten months. Market-wide volumes spiked above $36 billion, levels not seen since last May. And that’s just what digital exchanges are reporting.

Anyone still doubting whether institutional traders are accessing crypto should pay close attention to private bilateral contracts. This private market has scaled up to between $125 million and $500 million per month in the last half year, according to Bloomberg. Recent activity shows that traders have zeroed in on the $4,200 price target, and some are betting large sums that bitcoin can top this level by the spring.

Bitcoin is currently trading just above $4,000 on Bitfinex. While its share of the overall market has declined over the past 48 hours, it is by far the biggest bellwether for cryptocurrencies. Where bitcoin goes, the market follows.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 773 rated postsChief Editor to Hacked.com and Contributor to CCN.com, Sam Bourgi has spent the past nine years focused on economics, markets and cryptocurrencies. His work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Avid crypto watchers and those with a libertarian persuasion can follow him on twitter at @hsbourgi




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