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Analysis

2019: Which ICOs Are Now Thriving Firms? (Part 1 of 3)

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Writing about ICOs and cryptocurrencies, due to the fast-paced nature of the markets and how we can see literally insane levels of growth or depression, it’s easy to become solely focused on short-term strategies and probabilities.

Just like every romantic encounter can produce a child who grows into a billionaire or a janitor, every ICO is creating a company or product which must now navigate its way into the world. In this three-part series, the author makes predictions on a few ICOs he believes will stand the test of time.

Often during this series, you will notice that the author is an active investor or participant in the thing he is writing about. We hope you keep this in mind when reviewing all forward-looking statements from the author, who is not a registered financial advisor nor wishes you to strictly follow his advice instead of your own intuition.

SONM

Looking at the SONM charts this morning, the author was surprised to learn it was trading at just about 8 cents each. Had to pick up a few, but not so many that he is locked into a position, or potentially misses out on cheaper buys in coming turbulence. Since purchase, price has risen about .0001 Eth, and it’s hard to see where it will go from here. Price is not the reason the author is mostly interested in SONM, however, at least not while it is in Alpha stage. The author thinks that long-term, SONM tokens will have an extremely high value for industry players that require them. Their model threatens the likes of Amazon AWS, Digital Ocean, and even Google Cloud Compute. As the author wrote in his initial analysis of SONM:

These corporations are able to offer affordable rates through scaling. But what if the scale was market-driven, infinitely expandable and downsizable, and could be contributed to by most devices in the world? And what if you, the daily user, could sell your unused computing resources to a massive decentralized network in order to offset your broadband and other costs, or even to profit? That’s the idea behind the Supercomputer Organized by Network Mining (SONM): a global, decentralized, incentivized cluster of computing power, and one of a few promising plays in the distributed computing market.

The goal is to have around 100,000 SNM out of the total 444 billion. The author is still in the acquisition phase, so there is a profit-taking order placed at .001 Eth per SONM. In the event of a spike, a 400% return is acceptable, and the author can simply retain 25% of the tokens for later use. Because on the long scale, this is the sort of thing that will actually have value. SNM tokens may be trading cheaply now, but so were NEO shares not long ago.

Before SONM will start to snowball in value, it will need to launch an actual product. Their alpha launch is said to be a bit messy, requiring a Docker installation for miners, which is unusual but probably worth the excess hassle.

Disclaimer: This author has invested a small amount in SNM tokens. Do your own due diligence on any information received from Hacked.com.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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5 stars on average, based on 2 rated postsP. H. Madore has covered the cryptocurrency beat over the course of hundreds of articles for Hacked's sister site, CryptoCoinsNews, as well as some of her competitors. He is a major contributing developer to the Woodcoin project, and has made technical contributions on a number of other cryptocurrency projects. In spare time, he recently began a more personalized, weekly newsletter at http://ico.phm.link




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9 Comments

9 Comments

  1. Erikbigelow

    August 16, 2017 at 10:17 pm

    They just gotta beat Siacoin who has a big head start, but Siacoin needs better marketing. Looking forward to the rest of this series.

    • NoHomeJerome

      August 16, 2017 at 10:29 pm

      Actually, if I understand correctly, Siacoin is for storage, while SONM is for computing power, so they are not competing with each other.

      • Erikbigelow

        August 16, 2017 at 11:25 pm

        Doh! I meant Golem. Although siacoin kinda has the same issue.

  2. ekencu

    August 16, 2017 at 11:41 pm

    444 million, not billion!
    Regards.

  3. godishere

    August 17, 2017 at 5:34 am

    that’s it? Dude write more posts, this frequency is not enough for the subscription.

    • sweetroll

      August 17, 2017 at 8:00 am

      11 articles published today…

  4. JBGregory

    August 17, 2017 at 9:31 am

    Which exchange are you using to buy the coin?

  5. bens

    August 18, 2017 at 4:16 am

    if we didnt make the ICO do you recommend picking some up now while it is still cheap? if so where / which exchange can we buy?

  6. harrybrar77

    August 18, 2017 at 4:29 am

    I think Somn will do good. Golem doesn’t even alpha out yet.

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Analysis

Crypto Update: Bitcoin Plunges Below $6500 as Heavy Selling Resumes

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The cryptocurrency segment is having another very negative day after a calmer period, as selling pressure intensified yet again. All of the major coins turned sharply lower, with the laggards of the recent period, Litecoin, Monero, and Dash confirming their downtrend and the relatively stronger coins also taking a beating.

The total capitalization of the segment dropped below $270 billion, and from a long-term technical standpoint, several currencies are in precarious positions. With no clear news catalyst behind the move, technicals are playing a very important role, and last week’s lows will likely be in focus in the coming days.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin is still relatively weak both on the short- and long-term time-frames, and it dropped back to the $6275-$6500 zone that has been acting as primary support during the recent leg lower. Given the importance of the long-term zone between $5850 and $6000, a break below $6275 could set up a crucial test in the coming days. For now, traders still shouldn’t enter new positions, while investors should hold on to their coins as the bullish secular trend is still intact.

No Hiding From the Selloff as Altcoins Broadly Lower

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

With the weakest coins leading the way lower again, new swing lows are likely in the majority of the coins, although there is still hope for bulls that a major long-term breakdown can be avoided. Ethereum fell below $500 after touching the declining short-term trendline, and it remains in a bearish trend, even as it’s still in a much better technical position compared to BTC, holding up well above the April lows, and being further away from last week’s swing low as well.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

 That said, we remain negative regarding the short-term outlook for the second largest coin, and traders shouldn’t enter new positions here.  Above the $500 level, strong resistance is ahead between $555 and $575, while primary support is found at $450, with further zones near $400 and $480.

BNB/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

There are no real hiding places for crypto investors from the current selloff even as Binance Coin is still holding up relatively well, within a clear uptrend and above crucial technical support.  That said, as we warned before, given the broad downtrend in the segment, traders should be cautious with new short-term positions.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 279 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Italy Spooks markets Again as Stocks Remain Under Pressure

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European stocks Led the way lower today despite a bullish start in Asia, as equities gave back their gains when Daimler published a surprising profit warning, which was deeply affected by the recent trade war developments, reigniting fears of a tariff-driven downturn in global trade.

DAX, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Old Continent got into more trouble later on, when two anti-EU officials were named in Italy, resurrecting fears of a clash between the systematically crucial country and the core of the Eurozone. Italian yields rose in European trading, and although they are still shy of the levels hit during the May scare, the periphery could be in trouble as the ECB pledged to exit the market by the end of the year.

Nasdaq 100 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The main European indices were smashed lower during the session, with the DAX hitting a two month low, still being very weak relatively speaking compared to its US peers. US stocks sold off heavily following the opening bell and they failed to recover, unlike two days ago, and the major benchmarks traded well below yesterday’s levels just before the close.

The Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 lost some of their recent mojo, pulling back heavily of the all-time highs during the day. All in all, the risk off shift continues to dominate across the board, as we expected and we remain negative on risk assets here, especially regarding emerging markets, even as the Dollar’s rally could be over for a while.

Dollar Pulls back as Pound Surges

USD/CAD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Dollar took a beating as the Philly Fed Index came in much worse than expected, and as the Bank of England sent hawkish signals, pushing the Pound and the Euro higher. The central bank left its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.5%, but a rate hike this year got much closer, with a key member of the bank voicing inflationary concerns.

The Greenback fell more than what the events would imply, so a larger scale consolidation could have already started in the currency following the recent gains and the marginal new high yesterday. With the EUR/USD pair nearing the 1.1450-1.15 support zone, the USD/CAD hitting 1.33 and the AUD/USD touching 0.7350, a meaningful counter-trend move would be timely in the surging reserve currency.

WTI Crude Oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Gold continued to drift lower before the Dollar’s reversal and it hit $1262 for the first time since lat December before bouncing back above the $1270 level in late trading. Crude oil also fell sharply in early trading, and the WTI contract traded with a $64 handle before rallying back to $66 per barrel.

The OPEC meeting, which is expected to result in a supply increase by the cartel made the crucial commodity very volatile in recent days, but we expect the bearish trend to continue, with a likely dip to the $60 level in the coming weeks.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Drift Sideways as Trading Activity Plunges

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Liquidity dried up in the cryptocurrency segment in recent days, as trading volumes have been declining progressively, while the major coins got stuck in tight ranges. Only a few coins show signs of activity, and the bearish short-term patterns continue to dominate the market. With a group of currencies, namely Litecoin, Monero, Dash, and Bitcoin itself clearly dragging the segment down, the short-term trend will likely continue, as the previous leaders are now showing strength either.

While all of the top digital currencies are showing some gains today, and the total value of the market edged close to $290 billion, major resistance levels are still towering above. The fact that the effect of the Bithumb hack faded away quickly is a positive here, but until signs of bullish momentum and a clear leadership forming, the short-term outlook remains bearish.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin continues to trade near the $6750 level, edging ever closer to the declining short-term trendline, in a bearish consolidation pattern. Bulls would need a sustained move above $7000 to negate the declining trend, but for now at least a test of last week’s lows is likely with a possible move towards the key long-term zone between $5850 and $6000.  The short-term zone around $6350 level provides support, while further resistance is ahead near $7350.

Ethereum Nears Trendline as ETC Attempts Breakout

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum has been among the strongest coins in the last few days again, and coupled with its long-term relative strength, the second largest coin is still the best candidate to lead a recovery. That said, the coin still faces strong resistance between $555 and $575, and bullish momentum is suspiciously weak. Primary support is found at $500 with further zones near $450 and $400.

ETC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum Classic has been positively diverging compared to the rest of the market, together with Binance Coin, and to a lesser extent Tron ever since its inclusion to Coinbase, and the coin moved above the key $16 resistance yesterday in late trading.

While ETC is slightly overbought from a short-term perspective, a consolidation above $16 and a subsequent move higher could confirm a trend change. For now, the short-term trend signal is only neutral, and traders should remain cautious given the broad downtrend in the segment

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 279 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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