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$20,000,000,000,000

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Some say the chart of Bitcoin over the past year is simply outrageous. Well, maybe it is, but not as outrageous as the US national debt!!

Thanks to spending on the most recent natural and political disasters the US government is now in the hole for $20 Trillion. Despite this landmark milestone and despite everything else the US stock market’s S&P 500 Index closed at an all time high record level.

Tell me again how Bitcoin is a bubble.

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures, and graphs are valid as of September 12th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Market Overview

The headlines across financial media say that “fears subside.”

It is clear that stock markets are going up despite the 27 major natural disasters that have occurred in the first days of what some are calling Septembergeddon.

Furthermore, some analysts even pointed to the lack of a nuclear strike from North Korea as a reason for stocks to rise. True, Kim Jong Un didn’t launch any missiles over the weekend and instead decided to party with his people but that’s not any indication of what side of the bed he’ll wake up on tomorrow.

No, my friends. The markets are rising for a different reason…. Central bank manipulation.

Of the $20 Trillion that we mentioned above that the US owes, $4.5 Trillion of it is owed to their own central bank. Most of that money has ended up in the stock market.

In this chart from Bloomberg, we can see the stock markets rising since the financial crisis started in 2008 and the Fed’s balance sheet ballooning in comparison.

What about other safe havens?

So yeah, we can say that the stock markets are no longer a barometer of market sentiment. It used to be that when stocks were going up we could think of sentiment as being risk on. So, some of that sentiment may still be in the market, which explains why financial journalists are so confused.

They feel that since the stock markets are going up, the fears must be subsiding. They then look at the price of gold, the number one safe haven, and see that it’s down $23 an ounce in the last three sessions and see confirmation.

At this point though, I’m not sure gold can be used as a great example. It’s been bought so much over the past few weeks that signals are all showing that it’s been a bit overdone. So a bit of falling back doesn’t necessarily mean that risk is back on.

So we really need to look at the currency markets for help here. This is the performance so far this week.

Indeed, the biggest safe havens JPY, CHF, and the Euro are all falling so far this week.

OK, I guess nobody is scared of Kim Jong Un, or Harvey, or Irma, or Chipas, Jose, Trump, or multiple wildfires, or the out of control national debt, or the Federal reserve who wants to offload their $4.5 Trillion starting next month. I guess everything is just hunky dory.

Crypto Update

All major cryptos are in green for the second day in a row. It seems we do have some mild sustained growth. We’re far from the huge surging action that we saw in August but the pullback does seem to be over.

Let’s see how the day progresses.

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.
The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 129 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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2 Comments

  1. gran

    September 12, 2017 at 1:25 pm

    the dollar itself is the largest ponzi scheme that has been orchestrated in all times, it is laughable when it speaks badly of the cryptos, when it has a coin that is backed by simple words

    • Inverstor Clouseau

      September 13, 2017 at 1:34 am

      I wouldn’t call it a ponzi but it’s remarkable that the majority of the public don’t know what the dollar is backed by. I get a lot of rather ignorant people around me here in Toronto advocating for fiat saying that “bitcoin isn’t backed by anything, its all fake”. The irony is brilliant.

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Analysis

The Flippening: XRP Overtakes Ethereum as Second-Largest Cryptocurrency

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XRP’s sudden and dramatic surge over the past four days has fundamentally altered the composition of the cryptocurrency market. On Friday, the so-called banker’s cryptocurrency overtook Ethereum as the world’s second-largest blockchain, highlighting the latter’s struggle over the past two months.

Market Cap Rankings

The market capitalization for XRP has more than doubled this week and now sits at $23.6 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. The dramatic surge follows a 115% spike in the XRP price since Tuesday.

Ethereum, which has long held the no. 2 spot in the crypto market rankings, has fallen to third spot with a total market cap of $23.3 billion. Ether’s price is up more than 7% on Friday and lags considerably behind XRP over the past five days.

Trading in XRP is up across all major exchanges. XRP’s daily turnover now sits at $2.6 billion, having gained a staggering 800% since Tuesday.

At the time of writing, the total cryptocurrency market capitalization was worth nearly $225 billion. The market was valued at roughly $200 billion just 24 hours ago.

The Flippening

Despite being one of the most polarizing cryptocurrencies on the market, XRP has managed to win over investors who are keenly monitoring institutional adoption of blockchain technology. Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, has announced hundreds of partnerships over the designed to boost mainstream adoption of blockchain technology.

All that came to a head on Monday after a Ripple executive teased the release of the first xRapid product. Sagar Sarbhai, head of regulatory relations for Ripple’s Asia-Pacific and the Middle East unit, told CNBC that a new cryptocurrency offering centered on the xRapid system was due in the “next month or so.” This news helped propel XRP through the stratosphere.

Ethereum, on the other hand, was the center of the most recent market meltdown that saw prices plummet nearly 90% from peak-to-trough. Ether briefly fell below $170 last week as coin offerings continued to liquidate their holdings. According to some analysts, Ethereum is facing an existential crisis amid declining reservation demand and concerns over “economic abstraction.” Although the development community is addressing these concerns, Ethereum’s short-term price trajectory has been extremely volatile.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 606 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Surging Ripple Leads Strong Rally, Tops $0.50

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The last 24 hours saw a much-awaited bullish shift in the cryptocurrency segment, as finally, the rally of a major triggered a broad and sustained move in the other top coins as well. Ripple surged by 50% after the initial rally of the bear market lows, and it really took off after yesterday’s buy signal in our trend model, topping the weaker $0.3750 resistance level and the very strong long-term zone near $0.42, which also marked the dominant declining long-term trendline.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Despite the strong rally, a long-term trend change is not confirmed yet, and traders should reduce their positions here, as at least a re-test of the key zone near $0.42 is very likely following the surge, with resistance ahead at $0.54, $0.575, and $0.64. With the move, XRP also got close to take over Ethereum as the second largest coin, with currently around 10% separating the two currencies in market cap.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin is also significantly higher today, although the 5% move is dwarfed by Ripple 50% jump. BTC triggered a buy signal overnight, rallying past the $6500 resistance level, and it is currently testing the zone $6750.

The long-term signal is still only neutral, and although the current broad rally is encouraging, the segment is still not out of the woods. Further resistance zones are now ahead at $7000 and between $7200 and $7300, while support below $6500 is still found at $6275, $6000, and near $5850.

Altcoins Still Mixed but Rally Gaining Breadth

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum moved up to the recent swing high and got close to the key resistance level at $235 once again amid the broad rally, but for now a clear break to confirm a new upswing is not completed. That said, the coin is still on a short-term buy signal, and given the improvements in the segment, traders should hold on to their positions here.

A sustained move below $200 would still warn of a re-test of the lows near $170, but a move above $235 could lead to a test of the $260 resistance level and the strong $275-$280 zone.

XMR/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The outlook for the major altcoins improved, but there are still relatively weak coins, with the likes of ETC, IOTA, LTC, and NEO still not being in good technical positions. That said, Stellar, Cardano, Dash, and EOS also joined the rally, and Monero maintained its short-term buy signal too.

XMR is still below the recent swing low and the $125 resistance level, and well shy of the key long-term zone near $150, but the stability of the coin is encouraging.

Dash/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

After the bullish consolidation period below $200 that we pointed out, Dash moved above the key level following Ripple and the broader market higher. Dash could be part of a bullish leadership, should the current move continue, and although the long-term downtrend is still intact, the coins is now on a short-term buy signal in our trend model, with further support at $190 and $170 and resistance ahead at $215, $225, and $265.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 350 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

Altcoins Share the Spoils as $6 Billion Enters Global Market Overnight

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The cryptocurrency market just felt the sharp influx of $6 billion to global trade volumes within the space of twelve hours. That’s a 54% increase on the $11 billion recorded late on Thursday night, and on Friday morning (UTC) the altcoin market appears to have reaped the benefit.

The Big Two

Only $1.6 billion of that $6 billion influx found its way into BTC, and the 5% rise by Bitcoin overnight was steady rather than spectacular. It’s difficult to separate the wash trading and transaction mining from the official numbers, since CMC actually includes the excluded trades in its calculation of the daily percentage.

Ethereum’s trade volumes rose by $0.7 billion overnight, but the coin price surged 10% during the height of the flurry. This carries on ETH’s trend of outperforming BTC ever since the crash of early September. The morning’s surge saw ETH threaten the $230 mark – the first time since before the dip on September 5th.

BTC dominance fell by 2.2% overnight as the altcoin market picked up once again. Several tokens recorded north of 50% gains overnight, with some of the majors heavily involved in the action.

XRP +49%

XRP’s trade volume rose by $1.4 billion overnight; from $400 million to $1.8 billion – a volume that competes with Ethereum. Good news for XRP holders, the $1.8 billion volume hasn’t been seen since early April, in the lead up to +40% gains during the height of Q2’s brief market surge.

The early morning price in the $0.47 range hasn’t been seen since the middle of July, effectively cancelling out all of XRP’s losses over the autumn period. This compounds a strong week for Ripple and XRP that has seen them takes huge steps forward in their quest for mainstream adoption.

Stellar, Cardano, Tron

Stellar (XLM) spiked 22.4% at its peak before a slight pullback. The early morning peak of $0.252320 takes XLM back to early August.

It takes less to float altcoins than the big two, and Stellar’s surge came off the back of an $80 million influx to trade volumes, with most of it finding its way to XLM/BTC and XLM/USDT pairs on Binance.

Cardano (ADA) gained 20% on its value overnight, climbing from yesterday’s low of $0.071630 to this morning peak of $0.086385.

ADA’s numbers are weighted similar to Stellar, with an influx of $100 million to trade volumes resulted in gains of around a fifth of its starting value. Upbit’s ADA/KRW (Korean won) trades account for more than a third of the daily total. In fact, Upbit’s KRW trades are present in the majority of the major altcoins’ trades this morning.

TRON (TRX) began its climb yesterday before a brief pullback, but when the volumes returned TRON took its fair share. TRX trades rose by just under $100 million, and the resultant surge took the coin to a valuation of $0.023455 – a price not seen since during early September’s dip. That’s up 17% from last night’s low of $0.019994, and once again the Korean influence is felt with 16% of the daily trades coming in the form of the TRX/KRW pair.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 59 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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