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Cryptocurrencies

1000 Times More Powerful

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When we think about what makes money money, aside from the perception of value, we also need to have liquidity.

Meaning, that it’s not enough for people to believe something has value, it also needs to be easily exchangeable for goods and services in order to be considered a viable store of wealth.

In Japan, the government has already declared that bitcoin is a valid form of money and we know that hundreds of thousands of stores there are already accepting or are in the process of making bitcoin acceptable.

Recently it was announced that Australia will be installing 3000 brand new bitcoin ATM machines. The machines will allow people to exchange both ways so people can buy and sell bitcoin instantly for Australian Dollars.

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This type of activity exponentially increases the liquidity of Bitcoin in a strategic region that is key in the war on government money.

Thanks a lot to @etorowiz for sending this to me. Keep up the excellent trading Neville!

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of September 4th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Market Overview

Just when we thought the dust was safely under the North Korean rug a huge blast sent it flying all over the place once again.

Kim Jong Un claims that the 6.3 magnitude blast at their testing grounds on Sunday was indeed a Hydrogen Bomb and that they have the technology to attach it to a long range missile, the kind that they flew over northern Japan last week.

For those of us that are less up on our intricate knowledge of nuclear fission, a Hydrogen Bomb can be up to 1000 times more powerful than an Atomic bomb. Experts are currently debating whether Kim is telling the truth about both outrageous claims but what is clear is that the international community is now extremely nervous.

Markets in Asia are down significantly this morning as are the European stocks.

Though timing for such an event is never good, this blast comes at a particularly bad time both for Xi Jinping who is hosting the BRICs summit and for Donald Trump who is fighting a number of ciritcal battles at home.

Those Jobs Numbers

The NFP Jobs report that came out on Friday was really poor. Not only did the numbers fail to meet analyst expectations, but the numbers for July were revised down as well.

Stocks on Wall Street were seemingly unphased by the bad news and even managed to close the day on green. At this point, the only thing the US equity markets can really think about is the upcoming tax reforms. If there is any room for any other thoughts we could see it on the opening today due to the Geopolitical mess mentioned above.

The US Dollar, on the other hand, is a bit more vulnerable and did spike down following the announcement but managed a remarkable recovery by the end of the day.

We can see the action quite well against the Japanese Yen…

Of course, the North Korean nuclear test on Sunday overshadowed the NFP and the Yen started out this week in a much stronger position.

Crypto Pullback

Many crypto currencies reached new all time highs on Friday before a fierce pullback that we’re still in at the moment.

Bitcoin briefly breached the $5000 per coin mark just before the pullback began.

Remember, the overall crypto industry gained 84% during the month of August. At this point, we’re about 11% from the peak. So if the pullback stops at this moment it would be considered quite small in the grand scheme of things.

Momentum traders should keep a close eye on how things progress today.

What else?

Today is Labor Day in the US and Canada. Make sure to check the Market Hours page for opening times on the assets you are trading.

The Reserve Bank of Australia will be setting their interest rate early tomorrow morning, which is always fun for Forex traders.

Investors are already getting excited about the ECB meeting this Thursday, which will be followed by a press conference from Mario Draghi. Euro is on track for one of it’s best years ever against the US Dollar and it’s making European Bankers nervous. Draghi will no doubt be willing to do “whatever it takes” but what will it take? We’ll find out soon enough.

Wishing you an amazing week ahead!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.
The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 102 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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1 Comment

  1. Chris G

    September 4, 2017 at 8:24 pm

    Thanks mati!

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Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Pop Higher as Consolidation Continues

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Trading activity increased in the major coins today, amid a mixed news flow, and for now, bulls scored a small victory following last week’s bearish price action. Bitcoin, Ethereum and most of the largest digital currencies gained several percents, despite the weekend’s deterioration, and although the technical setup didn’t change significantly, an immediate breakdown has been averted.

The discouraging BIS report that has been making waves today wasn’t enough to push the coins below support, but for now, the short-term strength left the trading range intact with the primary resistance levels still keeping a lid on prices. Given the uncertain long-term picture, the coming weeks will be crucial for the largest coins and the whole segment alike, with Bitcoin being in the center of attention after its long period of relative weakness.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Bitcoin held up above the April low, despite the bearish short-term picture, and the coin the highest price level in a week, breaching the $6750 level in the process. While the most valuable coin fared relatively well today, it clearly remains a laggard from a broader perspective, and it is still trading in a declining short-term trend, with several strong resistance levels just ahead.

The $5850 is the key from a long-term perspective, with further support levels at $6500 and $6275 and resistance ahead at $7000 and $7350.

Bearish Rotation Among Altcoins

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

On a negative note, the leaders of the latest rally were among the weaker coins today, and that is a sign of bearish rotation in a segment, and until major resistance levels are broken traders shouldn’t enter new positions here. Ethereum managed to rally above $500 yet again, but it remained below week’s bounce high, leaving the trading range intact, while the declining short-term trend is also still dominant.  Strong resistance is still ahead between $555 and $575, while support below $500 is found at $450, $400, and $380.

EOS/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EOS, which is one of the strongest majors technically speaking also edged higher today, but it remains stuck in the declining short-term pattern, and below key support/resistance zone near $12. The coin is well below last week’s high and until a confirmed short-term trend change, traders shouldn’t enter positions here.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 276 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

New York Approval of Crypto Trading App Ignites Price Rally for Bitcoin, Altcoins

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The cryptocurrency market on Monday added $13 billion in the span of one hour after New York’s Department of Financial Services granted Square a digital currency license.

Square Cash App Approved for BitLicense

San Francisco-based startup Square, Inc. announced Monday it has been granted approval by New York regulators to launch its cryptocurrency trading platform in the state. The new crypto service will be offered through Square’s Cash app, which has seven million monthly active users, based on the company’s first-quarter earnings call.

The announcement was confirmed by Square in conjunction with an official press release issued by New York’s Department of Financial Services (DFS).

“DFS is pleased to approve Square’s application and welcomes them to New York’s expanding and well-regulated virtual currency market.,” Superintendent Maria Vullo said in a statement. “DFS continues to work in support of a vibrant and competitive virtual currency market that connects and empowers New Yorkers in a global marketplace while ensuring strong state-regulatory oversight is in place.”

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Bitcoin buying launched for Cash users last fall; by January, most users had access to crypto trading platform. Square announced in March it would seek a BitLicense to bring bitcoin trading to the nation’s second-most populous state.

Cash App has reportedly generated $34 million in profit through its bitcoin trading service.

Bitcoin, Cryptos Pop

Cryptocurrencies added roughly $13 billion in value between 12:22 UTC and 13:27 UTC, bringing the total market cap to $289.5 billion. Total trading volumes spiked by more than $1.5 billion over the same period.

At press time, the total value of all cryptos in circulation was $287.1 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. That represents a gain of about $23 billion from last week’s bear market low.

Bitcoin reached a high of $6,781.14 following the Square Cash announcement. It was last seen trading around $6,716, according to BarCart data.

The largest cryptocurrency by capitalization showed signs of breaking down earlier in the day as prices approached $6,300 on the major exchanges. BTC/USD was little changed over the weekend as the bulls failed to extend last week’s modest relief rally.

Despite the latest gain, bitcoin remains about 10% lower for June and is down more than 50% year-to-date.

As an asset class, altcoins rose more than $8 billion Monday afternoon. At $172.2 billion, digital currencies outside of bitcoin represent 60% of the total market.

All coins within the top-ten reported gains. Percentage-wise, Tron was the best performer, rallying 5.4% to $0.045. Ethereum jumped 3.4% to $517.46. Bitcoin cash added nearly 4% to trade at $884.28.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 455 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Altcoins

Crypto Critics: Fractured Facts

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I have another confession.  As a long time investor, I believed in the theory of efficient markets. This basically means that every participant in the market has immediate and complete access to all information facts like price, earnings and other data.  

I made the mistake in applying this theory to cryptocurrencies. Lately, this has been a mistake.  Yes it is true that anyone with the time and interest can go about gathering all the facts. But are all facts telling the truth or are they really fractured facts?  Either way they are dictating investor thinking and that is a key to this market.

According to reports on MarketWatch, crypto prices slumped on the release of a 24 page report from the Bank of International Settlements. BIS stated that cryptocurrencies suffered from “a range of shortcomings that would prevent cryptocurrencies from ever fulfilling the lofty expectations that prompted an explosion of interest — and investment — in the would-be asset class”.

The BIS is no small town organization. They serve as a central bank for other banks and they have been doing this since 1930.  When the BIS talks, people take things they say very seriously.

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The doomsday article released Sunday paints an accurate picture of the state of cryptocurrencies today. But what about tomorrow?  Most everyone is familiar with the issues of speed, security and energy consumption, not to mention regulation. But for the BIS to conclude that none of this problems will ever be solved is down right nieve.  It is the equivalent of declaring in 2001 that the Internet was doomed because 90% of users were connect on dial up modems.

Rotten Research

The BIS report is not the first fracturing of facts presented by well regarded organizations that is scaring investors. Remember back in May? We were treated to the research headline: Bitcoin Futures Caused The Crypto Market Crash according to Federal Papers.

Both the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and a Stanford University professor released a report concluding the launch of bitcoin futures last December contributed to the ensuing price collapse. Pretty far fetched stuff, and here is why.

Bitcoin futures trading began on December 10. BarChart.com shows the CME traded a measly 932 contracts while the CBOE handled 3,887.  Of that total some 2,828 contracts were still “Open Contracts” on December 29th leaving just 1991 coins to do all the harm. During that final week of December over 1.4 million coins were traded. The findings were simply flawed.

Much like the BIS, when the Federal Reserve speaks, people believe they have done their homework carefully.  Throw in Stanford and that adds further weight to this conclusion.

And Then There Are Those Other Facts

And then there was the revelation last week that, much of bitcoin’s 2017 boom was market manipulation, research says.  In a huge 66 page report it was claimed that at least half of the 2017 rise in bitcoin prices was due to coordinated price manipulation using tether.

The author, University of Texas at Austin finance professor John Griffin, argues that Tether was used to buy bitcoin at key moments when it was declining, which helped “stabilize and manipulate” the cryptocurrency price. BTW: this is the job of the specialist on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.

Professor Griffin appears to have done an excellent job correlating events without much consideration for the economics involved.  According to Bloomberg’s Aaron Brown, for Professor Griffin to be correct in his assertion that tether pushed up bitcoin prices four basis points per 100 bitcoin, Bitfinex would have needed to spend a boatload to inflate the cryptocurrency.  With Bitcoin at $10,000, for example, that means Bitfinex spends $1 million to push the price up to $10,004.

When you look at things from this perspective, Griffin’s findings look pretty absurd.

Look Closely At The Facts

These days with crypto psychology the worst since Mt. Gox in 2014, it seems like a good time for investors to capitalize on the fractured facts.  Technical analysis shows that cryptocurrencies bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple and others are hovering around key support levels. It would not be shocking at anytime to find some academic study linking crypto to the common cold.  By the way, it is a fact that last years dramatic crypto price spike came right at the start of the flu season.

A far more relevant fact was last week’s announcement by the Securities and Exchange Commission that neither bitcoin or Ethereum were securities. Perhaps equally important is the conclusion that when ICO do not convey an equity ownership position, they too are considered in the same non-security category as bitcoin and Etherrun.  This is a fact.

What we do know is that crypto prices are as low as they have been since well before the spike last December.  Just as the markets recovered from Mt. Gox, the mindset of investors will recover and that is the key.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 81 rated postsJames Waggoner is a veteran Wall Street analyst and hedge fund manager who has spent the past few years researching the fintech possibilities of cryptocurrencies. He has a special passion for writing about the future of crypto.




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